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Milk turns sour at Dairy Crest

Strong sales of branded products help Dairy Crest overcome a challenging liquid milk market
November 10, 2011

Strong sales of branded products saved the day at Dairy Crest, offsetting continued deterioration in profits at its liquid milk business.

IC TIP: Buy at 333p

The dairy producer was able to marginally increase sales, but fierce competition meant it was forced to accept lower profit margins in major retail tenders, even though commodity costs rose. As a result, operating profits in the dairies business almost halved from £10.9m to £5.8m. But the underlying picture was worse still, strip out £4.6m of one-off profits from the sale of four depots and dairy profits were just £1.2m.

But chief executive Charles Allen anticipates a much improved performance in the second half, and said expects the business to deliver further efficiency savings in the coming years after identifying £20m of annualised savings in the period.

Sales of branded profits were encouraging, up 5 per cent in aggregate thanks to particularly strong performances from Clover in the UK and St Hubert in France, which benefited from rival products being delisted. Dairy Crest was also able to push through price increases, lifting branded profits 21 per cent to £48.2m.

Broker Panmure Gordon expects underlying EPS of 47.4p in the year to March 2012 (from 47.1p last year).

DAIRY CREST GROUP (DCG)

ORD PRICE:333pMARKET VALUE:£444m
TOUCH:333-334p12-MONTH HIGH:425pLOW: 323p
DIVIDEND YIELD:6.0%PE RATIO:7
NET ASSET VALUE:242p*NET DEBT:113%

Half-year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201077736.119.85.5
201179639.222.45.7
% change+2+9+13+4

Ex-div: 4 Jan

Payment: 26 Jan

*Includes intangible assets of £514m, or 386p a share