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European woes hit Logica

TIP UPDATE: Continued weaknesses in Sweden and Benelux sees profits slump at Logica, and with little improvement in sight, we're sticking to our sell advice
February 22, 2012

Sustained weaknesses in Logica's European operations saw the IT group's operating profit slump 74 per cent to £55m.

IC TIP: Sell at 86p

Weakness at its professional services and consulting arm in Benelux and Sweden was largely to blame, dragging adjusted operating profits at the division down 24 per cent to £122m,despite revenues holding steady at £2.2bn. Both regions have now turned loss-making, although Mr Green expects Benelux to return to profits this year. But UK operations have also deteriorated, with operating profits slumping 74 per cent to £16m. The outsourcing division fared better, with a 9 per cent sales increase nudging operating profits 6 per cent higher to £125m.

Despite new orders increasing 13 per cent to £4.6bn, chief executive Andy Green says the outlook remains uncertain, and expects 2012 sales in the range of minus 2 per cent to plus 2 per cent. However, after taking a £132m hit on restructuring and contract charges, Mr Green expects £25m-£35m of savings to be realised by the second half of 2012, which he believes will lift underlying operating margins to 6.5 per cent this year, after a fall from 7.3 per cent to 6.2 per cent in 2011.

Broker Singer expects adjusted pre-tax profits of £224m and EPS of 10.2p in 2012, virtually unchanged on 2011.

LOGICA (LOG)

ORD PRICE:87pMARKET VALUE:£1.4bn
TOUCH:86-87p12-MONTH HIGH:146pLOW: 57p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.1%PE RATIO:51
NET ASSET VALUE:120p*NET DEBT:15%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20073.07845.45.8
20083.59442.73.0
20093.70432.53.3
20103.701939.64.2
20113.9232.71.74.4
% change+6-83-82+5

Ex-div: 11 Apr

Payment: 16 May

*Includes intangible assets of £2.1bn, or 128p a share