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Lloyds facing funding pain

Lloyd s' hefty reported loss largely reflects a £3.2bn provision against payment protection insurance claims. But increased funding costs, as reliance on cheap Bank of England liquidity falls, cut the group's net interest margin by 14 basis points to 2.07 per cent. There's more margin pain ahead, too, since £23.5bn in total of Treasury guaranteed debt must be repaid by October.

Moreover, and while the group's impairment charge fell by a quarter year-on-year to £8.09bn, Lloyds' property-focused Irish book remains troubled. The Irish impairment charge was cut 25 per cent but, at £3.19bn, it still represents 39 per cent of the total charge. Yet the Irish book accounts for just 2.6 per cent of the group's £566bn commercial loan book. That helped the wealth & international unit to report a heavy £3.94bn pre-tax loss.

Meanwhile, higher funding costs and muted credit demand amid tough economic conditions resulted in retail pre-tax profits sliding 9 per cent to £3.64bn. These factors, as well as asset disposals, also impacted the wholesale banking unit, which posted a 67 per cent fall in pre-tax profits to £828m.

Prior to these figures, Charles Stanley was forecasting underlying EPS of 3.5p for 2012.

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP (LLOY)
ORD PRICE:36.16pMARKET VALUE:£24.9bn
TOUCH:36.16-36.2p12-MONTH HIGH:66pLOW: 21.7p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:67p 

Year to 31 DecPre-tax profit (£bn)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20074.0019.223.9
20080.764.57.6
20091.047.5nil
20100.28-0.5nil
2011-3.54-4.1nil
% change---

IC VIEW:

Lloyds' 10.8 per cent core tier-one capital ratio looks decent enough. But the bank, which is 41 per cent state-owned, is tackling weak economic conditions while absorbing rising funding costs. There's no dividend, either. So, even though the shares trade below the 58.6p tangible nets asset value, there's no obvious catalyst for a rerating. Hold.

Last IC view: Fairly priced, 33p, 5 October 2011

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By John Adams,
24 February 2012

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