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Schroders treads water

Schroders kept profits flat in 2011 - not bad in volatile trading conditions - and attracted net inflows of £3.2bn. But equity market weakness left assets under management down 5 per cent at £187.3bn, while the shares - which have risen strongly since January - lack obvious catalysts for further upside.

The underlying picture demonstrated the tough trading environment faced by the group. Net institutional inflows fell sharply from £16.8bn to £6.8bn, which left institutional assets up just £2bn at £108.4bn. More worryingly, retail business, which typically attracts higher margins, suffered net outflows of £3.8bn - reversing £7.9bn of net inflows in 2010. Furthermore, net revenue margins fell from 59 basis points to 56 basis points. And while management fees rose from £1.16bn to £1.27bn, performance fees fell from £73.4m to £37.8m.

On the private banking side, net new business was down sharply on 2010's £2.4bn to just £0.2bn, and assets under management were roughly static at £16bn. However, with no repeat of the previous year's doubtful debt charge, divisional pre-tax profits recovered from £10.1m to £23.8m.

Numis Securities expects 2012 pre-tax profits of £400m, giving EPS of 108.2p.

SCHRODERS (SDR)
ORD PRICE:1,549pMARKET VALUE:£4.19bn*
TOUCH:1,549-1,551p12-MONTH HIGH:1,936pLOW: 1,155p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.5%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:674p* 

Year to 31 DecPre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200739310526.5
200812327.531.0
200913834.331.0
201040711237.0
201140711639.0
% change-+4+5

Ex-div: 28 Mar

Payment: 11 May

*Includes non-voting shares

IC View:

Schroders is attracting low-margin institutional inflows and losing higher-margin retail business. Revenue margins look pretty weak, too, when compared with rivals such as Jupiter Fund Management. So, trading on 14 times forecast earnings and paying a relatively modest dividend, the shares look up with events. Hold.

Last IC view: Fairly priced, 1,485p, 12 August 2011

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By Jonas Crosland,
08 March 2012

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