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No jubilee for Ocado

RESULTS: Ocado bizarrely blames the Jubilee for a trading slowdown and, with net debt rising fast, these shares are well past their best before date
June 26, 2012

News that Ocado has managed to hire a new chief financial officer wasn't enough to stop the online grocer's shares tumbling after its half-year results. It did manage to generate a small pre-tax profit, but the £181,000 was barely an improvement on a year earlier despite steadily rising sales, and trading in the third quarter has slowed markedly.

IC TIP: Sell at 92p

Ocado blamed the Jubilee for the slowdown, and suggested that the trend may continue during the Olympics – that's slightly odd, as larger grocers reported an improving sales trend in the Jubilee week and are confident of a similar uplift during the games. Management believes that improvement to the distribution centre and expansion of its grocery and non-food ranges will see sales growth recover in the rest of the second half. But increases in capacity are not translating into higher profit – average orders per week rose 13 per cent to 122,000, but higher distribution and marketing costs meant underlying operating profits slipped from £2.4 to £2m.

That hardly makes an encouraging case for the construction of a new distribution centre. Ocado says the first phase of the £200m facility is now 65 per cent complete but, having spent £71.4m on capital projects in the half, it only has £46.7m of undrawn borrowings remaining.

Broker Panmure Gordon expects a loss per share of 2.1p this year (from a loss of 0.5p in 2011).

OCADO GROUP (OCDO)

ORD PRICE:92pMARKET VALUE:£513m
TOUCH:91-92p12-MONTH HIGH:200pLOW: 52p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:31pNET DEBT:41%

Half-yearto 13 MayTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20112770.170.40nil
20123080.180.03nil
% change+11+4--