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DS Smith the complete package

RESULTS: DS Smith will become a European packaging powerhouse when it completes the transformational SCA deal, and the shares look too cheap
June 28, 2012

Strong supermarket demand for recycled corrugated cardboard display boxes helped DS Smith to a solid set of full-year results, and the group said it expects to complete the €1.6bn (£1.4bn) takeover of Swedish rival SCA Packaging on 30 June. There are some worries over the execution risk on such a large deal, but if management pulls it off the shares are a bargain.

IC TIP: Buy at 137p

Underlying pre-tax profits were up 44 per cent to £110.2m after excluding £88.5m in exceptional costs related to the closure of some UK paper mills and one-off SCA deal costs. Corrugated box volumes climbed 2 per cent, and DS Smith was effective at passing on price increases and cutting costs. Having saved £7.8m in the year in the UK it's ahead of its targeted savings of £10m by 2014, and on track to achieve €13m at Otor, the French business acquired in 2010.

Mr Dryden expects a further €75m of synergies from the SCA deal, and added that they will update the market in October if more savings have been found. Analysts are confident this will happen, and broker Panmure Gordon forecasts adjusted pre-tax profits of £187m and EPS of 14.7p this year (from 12.8p in 2011).

DS SMITH (SMDS)

ORD PRICE:137pMARKET VALUE:£1.27bn
TOUCH:137-138p12-MONTH HIGH:196pLOW: 112p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.3%PE RATIO:115
NET ASSET VALUE:114p*NET CASH:£322m

Year to 30 AprTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20081.9710913.56.06
20092.1116.8-2.073.03
20102.0755.06.683.17
2011**1.7677.68.604.50
20121.9721.71.205.90
% change+12-72-86+31

Ex-div:3 Oct

Payment:1 Nov

*Includes intangible assets of £310m, or 33p a share.

**Restated following the sale of office products division Spicer and rights issue