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easyJet's dividend doubles

RESULTS: easyJet is beating the competition and paying a regular dividend, but a lot is already reflected in the share price
November 20, 2012

easyJet's (EZJ) shareholders are dancing in the aisles after the budget airline posted record full-year profits and doubled the dividend. Its share price has doubled in the year, too, but stiff headwinds suggest progress may not be so dramatic in 2013.

IC TIP: Hold at 689p

The City was told last month to expect pre-tax profit of between £310m and £320m, so the earnings figures held few surprises - despite spending an extra £232m on fuel. The size of the dividend, however, was a positive shock, and there's now a commitment to pay out a third of after-tax profits, which should keep noisy shareholders like founder Sir Stelios Haji-Ioannou quiet.

A better load factor, tighter industry capacity, a focus on more profitable routes and a maiden TV advertising campaign helped drive a 5.9 per cent increase in revenue per seat. More than 58m passengers boarded easyJet flights during the 12-month period, 7 per cent higher than last year, and its planes were almost 89 per cent full. Clearly, Brits are saving hard for their summer holiday on the Costa Brava, but easyJet is attracting an army of business travellers, too. Companies are cutting costs where they can, which means trading down to cheaper airlines. easyJet has a number of agreements with corporate finance departments and expects to sign more. It has even tied up a deal to fly MPs and peers abroad.

What's more, around 45 per cent of winter seats are sold and revenue per seat is expected to be up by low- to mid-single digits in the first half. But easyJet also faces stiff headwinds. Costs grew 1.8 per cent on a constant currency basis during the period, driven largely by higher airport charges in Spain and Italy, and cost per seat before any change in fuel and currency is tipped to rise by up to 4 per cent next year. Higher airport charges will likely add another £70m to the bill, fuel an extra £30m and choppy exchange rates about £50m. Any disruption from strikes across Europe could be expensive, too.

Investec Securities expects pre-tax profit of £344.1m in 2013, giving adjusted EPS of 69.1p (61.7p in 2012).

EASYJET (EZJ)

ORD PRICE:689pMARKET VALUE:£2.73bn
TOUCH:688-689p12-MONTH HIGH:700pLOW: 340p   
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.1%PE RATIO:11
NET ASSET VALUE 453p*NET DEBT:4%

Year to 30 SepTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20082.3611019.8nil
20092.6754.716.9nil
20102.9715428.4nil
20113.4524852.510.5†
20123.8531762.521.5
% change+12+28+19+105

Ex-div: 27 Feb

Payment: 22 Mar

*Includes intangible assets of £456m, or 115p a share

†Excludes 34.9p special dividend