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Wolfson promises profitable 2013

RESULTS: Wolfson clearly has the wind behind it and plenty of potential, but there are risks, too
February 6, 2013

Wolfson Microelectronics (WLF) finally made money in the second half of 2012, and it looks like the momentum has carried over into this year, too. Given management says it's confident in consensus estimates, expect a big profit in 2013. In fact, analysts at broker finnCap predict adjusted pre-tax profit will ramp up to $11.2m (£7.15m) to produce underlying EPS of 7.1¢ in the current financial year. That's quite a turnaround from the $3m adjusted pre-tax loss reported in 2012.

IC TIP: Hold at 189p

Of course, much will depend on how quickly customers ramp up new products, but the omens are good. Fourth-quarter sales of $56.1m was up 52 per cent on the year before and 85 per cent better than the first quarter. That turned a fourth-quarter loss of $2.9m in 2011 into a $1.5m underlying operating profit and narrowed the full-year deficit by almost two-thirds to $2.9m. And Wolfson reckons first-quarter sales in 2013 will be up 40 to 60 per cent to between $42m and $48m. It admits Samsung will make up half that - it was a third in 2012. Clearly, that's not ideal. Still, the company is supplying chips to most of the big manufacturers and for the new Blackberry Z10, too.

A sharp drop in gross margin to less than 44 per cent - blamed on a single high volume part with one customer - is disappointing. Wolfson predicts a return to a more traditional gross margin of around 48 per cent in the second half of 2013 as customers take up more expensive parts with extra functionality, but not before another big margin drop in the current quarter.

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS (WLF)

ORD PRICE:189pMARKET VALUE:£220m
TOUCH:189-190p12-MONTH HIGH:233pLOW: 148p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE 120¢*NET DEBT:$48m

Year to 30 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
200819810.66.52nil
2009121-14.8-8.88nil
2010157-11.2-5.71nil
2011157-24.1-15.39nil
2012180-9.4-5.22nil
% change+15---

*Includes intangible assets of $32.4m, or 28¢ a share £1=$1.57