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Mondi makes big savings

RESULTS: Conditions remain tough and capacity issues loom, yet Mondi had a much better second half and this year has started well, too
February 21, 2013

Packaging giant Mondi (MNDI) turned things around in the second half and finished the year with a flourish. That momentum has carried over into 2013 and the two big acquisitions made since the summer - Nordenia and Duropack's German and Czech corrugated packaging operations - are fitting in so well they're now expected to generate annual savings of €30m within two years. That's a third more than first thought and grounds for earnings upgrades.

IC TIP: Buy at 838p

Given Mondi flagged these numbers just a few weeks ago, there were few surprises. Underlying EPS had slumped over a quarter in the first half, but finished the year down just 3 per cent at 69.6¢. A similar drop in adjusted cash profit to €923m was better than analysts expected, too. Weaker containerboard pricing tore 18 per cent off packaging paper profits to €321m, yet lower costs lifted profits at the fibre packaging division by 13 per cent to €168m as both pricing and volumes for corrugated packaging remained stable. Boosted by the Nordenia acquisition, Mondi made €45m from consumer packaging, and a €300m profit from uncoated fine paper was much better than forecast.

Broker Jefferies increases adjusted EPS forecasts for 2013 by 10 per cent to 85¢.

MONDI (MNDI)
ORD PRICE:838pMARKET VALUE:£4.06bn
TOUCH:837.5-838p12-MONTH HIGH:855pLOW:   494p    
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.9%PE RATIO:19
NET ASSET VALUE:609p*NET DEBT:65%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (€bn)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20086.35-103-41.612.7
20095.2649-6.59.50
20105.6133337.820.0
20115.7445757.526.0
20125.8137150.528.0
% change+1-19-12+8

Ex-div: 17 Apr

Payment: 16 May

*Includes intangible assets of €695m, or 165p a share

£1=€1.15