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Production surge at Afren

RESULTS: Another strong year for Afren was capped off by success at the Ain Sifni Product Sharing Contract (PSC) in Kurdistan.
March 25, 2013

As expected, FTSE 250 listed oil producer and explorer Afren (AFR) delivered record headline figures for the 2012 full-year as daily oil production surged through operations on the Ebok and Okoro fields off the coast of Nigeria, while group reserves and prospects for future revenue streams were enhanced by an impressive exploration and appraisal success rate of 88 per cent.

IC TIP: Buy at 150p

The steep rise in revenues resulted from stable realised prices combined with a 123 per cent increase in Afren’s share of daily production to 43,059 barrels of oil equivalent (boe) - a rate of 40,000-47,000 boe (excluding the Kurdistan assets) is expected during the current year. The production hike also meant that operational cash flow soared to $935m (£615m) from $338m in 2011. Afren managed to record a 152 per cent hike in operating profits to $675m.

The group reported a highly encouraging reserves replacement ratio of 265 per cent, reflecting considerable operational headway during 2012, including three noteworthy discoveries at the Okoro Field Extension, the Ebok North Fault Block and - perhaps most significantly - at the Ain Sifni PSC in Kurdistan. In tandem with the results, Afren announced the acquisition of a 10.4 per cent stake in First Hydrocarbon Nigeria for around $37m.

BoA/Merrill Lynch anticipates EPS of 31¢ a share (2012: 18.7¢).

AFREN (AFR)
ORD PRICE:150pMARKET VALUE:£1.6bn
TOUCH:149.5-150p12-MONTH HIGH:162pLOW: 93p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:12
NET ASSET VALUE:131¢*NET DEBT:42%

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
20080.04-56-15.1nil
20090.341-2.6nil
20100.32795.1nil
20110.6022112.3nil
20121.5059418.7nil
% change+151+169+52-

£1 = $1.52 *Includes intangible assets of $876m, or 80¢ a share