Join our community of smart investors

Grainger senses housing recovery

RESULTS: The country's largest listed residential landlord is making solid progress with paying down debt and increasing fee income.
May 16, 2013

The UK housing market "hasn't felt like this for some time", says Andrew Cunningham, chief executive of Grainger (GRI) - noting that the number of days it takes for the residential landlord to sell property is edging down. A recovery in housing transactions would help Grainger on its mission to reduce net debt below the £1bn mark, which involves offloading assets.

IC TIP: Buy at 150p

Net debt was £1.15bn at the year-end, but has fallen to £1.08bn this month following the sale of a 50 per cent stake in an £111m period social-housing estate in south London to Dorrington, a private property company. Mr Cunningham says he tries to avoid "cluster risk" and was happy to crystallise a 36 per cent gain on an acquisition only made in March 2011.

This is one of three strategic tie-ups announced over the past half year. Grainger also sold a 75 per cent stake in about half its German housing assets to an institutional investor last November, and this year signed a deal with APG, a Dutch pension fund manager, to manage a jointly-owned private-rented housing fund. These will boost asset management fees - another key plank of the company's strategic reinvention.

Once again the company's portfolio outperformed the national housing market, posting a 3 per cent increase over the six months, and boosting so-called 'triple' net asset value (marking both trading properties and derivatives to market). Broker Peel Hunt expects triple NAV of 166p a share at the year-end.

GRAINGER (GRI)

ORD PRICE:150pMARKET VALUE:£622m
TOUCH:150-151p12-MONTH HIGH:155pLOW: 81p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.3%TRADING PROPERTIES:£996m
DISCOUNT TO NAV:10%
INVESTMENT PROPERTIES:£633m*NET DEBT:264%*

Half-year to 31 MarNet asset value** (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201115715.13.050.55
201216711.02.640.58
% change+6-27-13+5

Ex-div: 5 Jun

Payment: 5 Jul

*Includes £101m within joint ventures and associates

**Gearing is 165 per cent after marking trading assets to market value