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Centrica powers ahead

RESULTS: Centrica delivered solid underlying growth in the six months to 30 June, propelling its share price towards an all-time high
May 17, 2013

Don't be misled by the drop in reported profits at Centrica (CNA). Cold weather benefits and high operating profits in its upstream business actually helped the utility company report solid 9 per cent growth in adjusted pre-tax profits to £1.58bn in the six months to 30 June, up from £1.45bn a year earlier.

IC TIP: Buy at 392p

True, a good chunk of this was gobbled up by a 4 per cent hike in Centrica's effective tax rate to 47 per cent - due to higher taxes on rising upstream oil and gas production - so adjusted earnings only climbed 2 per cent year on year. Exceptional items and certain re-measurements of contracts make up the remainder of the difference.

Investors should nevertheless be comforted by the group's strong first-half operational performance, led by 16 per cent growth in adjusted cash profits at Centrica Energy, the oil and gas production arm that now accounts for half of group-wide profits. The upstream business is on track to deliver a production increase of nearly 20 per cent for the full year, after the York and Rhyl gasfields began production in the first quarter and the acquisition of Canadian gas assets is accounted for.

At British Gas, gas consumption was up 13 per cent year on year against a backdrop of sustained cold weather. However, rising environmental, network and regulatory pressures meant Centrica was unable to capitalise on the demand increase in an effort to keep prices down for customers. As a result, adjusted cash profits increased a mere 1 per cent.

Centrica's North American arm, Direct Energy, grew operating profit by 6 per cent during the period, with management citing "enhanced scale due to organic growth and acquisitions" as the primary factor. The recently announced $1bn (£650m) purchase of a US energy marketing business should provide further scale in retail, with analysts at Deutsche Bank describing the acquisition as "a deal with strategic value for which they are not paying a strategic premium".

Centrica's management reiterated that the company is well on track to hit earnings expectations for the full year. Before the results, Deutsche Bank forecast pre-tax profits of £2.67bn in the current year and EPS of 28.0p (from £2.48bn and 27.0p in 2012).

CENTRICA (CNA)

ORD PRICE:392pMARKET VALUE:£20.2bn
TOUCH:392-393p12-MONTH HIGH:395pLOW: 309p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.3%PE RATIO:18
NET ASSET VALUE:114p*NET DEBT:78%

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£bn)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201212.01.6718.94.62
201313.71.4915.84.92
% change+14--+6

Ex-div: 25 Sep

Payment: 13 Nov

*Includes intangible assets of £4.3bn, or 84p a share