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Restaurant Group looking bloated

TIP UPDATE: Restaurant Group delivered a robust first-half performance, but the punchy share price rating leaves no room for error
September 2, 2013

Reflecting robust across-the-board trading, Restaurant Group (RTN) delivered like-for-like sales growth of 5 per cent at the first-half stage. Add in decent cost controls and group operating profit jumped 14 per cent year-on-year to £31m.

IC TIP: Sell at 547p

The Frankie and Benny's chain enjoyed a "sizeable uplift" in revenue and profit, while the group's Chiquito outlets benefited from the popularity of Mexican food. Coast to Coast, the group's newest venture, also performed well, and the upmarket pubs business - though still generating less than 10 per cent of group turnover - also traded strongly. Indeed, finance director Stephen Critoph expects significant growth here - it also has the highest average spend across the group.

All of the 11 new restaurants opened this year are trading ahead of expectations and a further 19-24 are expected to go live before the year-end. Moreover, Mr Critoph says he's not worried about the possibility that growing supply in the sector could lead to margin pressure and rent inflation. He says that growth in branded restaurant numbers is being offset by a contraction in the independent sector - leading to a fairly static overall supply picture.

Broker Shore Capital expects full-year pre-tax profit of £71.8m, giving EPS of 26.5p (from £64.4m and 23.8p in 2012).

RESTAURANT GROUP (RTN)
ORD PRICE:547pMARKET VALUE:£1.1bn
TOUCH:546p-548p12-MONTH HIGH:579pLOW: 316p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.3%PE RATIO:21
NET ASSET VALUE:102pNET DEBT:13%

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201225226.09.634.50
201328030.011.25.25
% change+11+15+16+17

Ex-div: 11 Sep

Payment: 9 Oct