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Ricardo racing ahead

RESULTS: Ricardo has done spectacularly well, but the shares now look fairly valued although they are still worth buying on the dips
September 11, 2013

Engineering consultancy Ricardo (RCDO) has forced analysts to upgrade expectations again. Underlying pre-tax profit jumped by 31 per cent to £23m last year and there's been a flood of orders during the typically quieter summer months. So, having upgraded estimates by 7 per cent since July, analysts at broker Peel Hunt now expects a profit of £24.5m in 2014, giving underlying EPS of 38.7p (up from 35.8p in 2013). AEA, the environmental consultancy bought last November, is doing better than expected, too, and further benefits are inevitable.

IC TIP: Hold at 533p

Indeed, AEA outperformed almost every month under new ownership and underlying operating profit at Ricardo's core technical consulting division leapt 26 per cent to £18.5m. Ricardo's buying power is helping and opening up new markets such as India and the Far East. Yet, even without AEA, the division grew profit by 7 per cent to £15.7m. Crucially, US carmakers have begun placing orders again and should put more business Ricardo's way. Japan, where sales grew 26 per cent to £18.3m, has done well in the past few months, too, and there are "some nice jobs in the pipeline that are quite material", says chief executive Dave Shemmans. He also reckons the Chinese sales of £8m should be "nearer £20m". With £12m of work booked already, it looks likely.

Elsewhere, profit at Ricardo's performance products business nudged up to £6.1m, driven largely by the Foxhound armoured vehicle, and demand from both McLaren and Bugatti.

RICARDO (RCDO)

ORD PRICE:533pMARKET VALUE:£277m
TOUCH:530-533p12-MONTH HIGH:545pLOW:  345p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.6%PE RATIO:16
NET ASSET VALUE 192p*NET CASH:£6.1m

Year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200917915.728.810.7
201016310.820.110.7
201119715.430.011.5
201219717.629.312.4
201323021.032.914.0
% change+16+19+12+13

Ex-div: 30 Oct

Payment: 22 Nov

*Includes intangible assets of £41.5m, or 80p a share