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Songbird's exciting pipeline

RESULTS: The development pipeline at Canary Wharf-focused property group Songbird is starting to take shape
September 19, 2014

Songbird Estates (SBD) owns around two-thirds of Canary Wharf Group and these half-year figures provided ample evidence that the property boom still has legs. The net asset value grew 10 per cent in the first six months and by an astonishing 43 per cent year-on-year. Moreover, occupancy levels remained high at 97.2 per cent, while net rental and related income rose 15 per cent to £141m.

IC TIP: Buy at 250p

At 11.2m square feet, Songbird has the largest development pipeline of any London-based property company. This may represent a higher risk than some are comfortable with, but the strength of the market goes some way towards assuaging these concerns.

In something of a departure from Songbird's core retail and office operations, residential developments are proceeding apace. A 58-storey tower called Newfoundland, and comprising 611 high quality residential suites, will be built at Canary Wharf. This forms part of a concept that's more commonly seen in locations such as Manhattan, where people live in close proximity to their workplace.

But that's just the start. Planning consent has been granted to develop of a 4.9m sq ft site adjacent to Canary Wharf. This will comprise 2.6m sq ft of residential space for 3,100 homes, a primary school and health centre. There will also be 1.3m sq ft of commercial space and over 100 high street shops, restaurants and cafes. Altogether this is expected to double the residential population in Canary Wharf to 200,000 within 10 years.

Strong interest from investors, notably in the Far East, allowed the sale of 10 Upper Bank Street for £795m in June, a substantial uplift on last June's £685m valuation. Some of the proceeds have been used to redeem loan notes, although there's a court hearing due later this year, or early next year, to rule on whether a £169m early redemption charge is payable.

JP Morgan Cazenove expect year-end adjusted net asset value of 323.5p a share (from 266p in 2013).

SONGBIRD ESTATES (SBD)
ORD PRICE:250pMARKET VALUE:£1.85bn
TOUCH:248-254p12-MONTH HIGH:264pLOW: 142p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilDEVELOPMENT PROP:£1.3bn
DISCOUNT TO NAV:22%
INVESTMENT PROP:£4.8bnNET DEBT:103%

Half-year to 30 JunNet asset value (p)*Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201322326422.2nil
201431927022.7nil
% change+43+2+2-

Ex-div: na

Payment: na

*Adjusted NAV