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Wolseley held back by weak Europe

Wolseley is thriving in the US, but its European business is still struggling to gain traction
September 30, 2014

For heating and plumbing supplier Wolseley (WOS), it was very much a tale of two continents. Strong growth in the US more than offset a lacklustre performance in Europe. Overall, group operating profits rose by 4 per cent to £761m, but the gain would have been nearer 9 per cent without the adverse effect of currency movements, which trimmed £30m off profits.

IC TIP: Hold at 3,284p

Trading in the US accounts for just over half of group turnover. Revenue grew by 8 per cent on a like-for-like basis, pushing trading margins up to a record 7.7 per cent. On top of this, four bolt-on acquisitions were completed, delivering a further 1 per cent revenue growth. But even in the US trading was patchy. Activity in the repair, maintenance, improvement (RMI) market continued to grow steadily, but the new residential market reported only modest growth. The non-residential side was more positive, especially the water works business, while sales generated through e-commerce channels also grew strongly.

In the UK, which is responsible for 15 per cent of group revenue, sales grew 5 per cent. But that's only after including acquisitions, without which revenue was basically flat. Not surprisingly, business from the house building sector grew strongly, but this only accounts for 7 per cent of UK revenue. The RMI market, which accounts for over half of domestic sales, remained in the doldrums. In fact, market share declined in the second half as managers turned down some work in order to protect margins.

In central Europe and France, which represent 9 per cent of group revenues, like-for-like sales fell 1.9 per cent. Notable challenges remain in the Netherlands, France and Switzerland, and trading profit for the whole region fell from £46m to £34m.

Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch are forecasting adjusted pre-tax profits for the coming year of £796m and EPS of 214p (from £725m and 196p in 2013-14).

WOLSELEY (WOS)
ORD PRICE:3,284pMARKET VALUE:£8.75bn
TOUCH:3,283-3,285p12-MONTH HIGH:3,537pLOW: 2,966p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.5%PE RATIO:17
NET ASSET VALUE:1,083p*NET DEBT:25%

Year to 31 JulTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)†Dividend per share (p)†
201013.2-328-126nil
201113.63919643.5
201213.41982158.1
201313.246010363.9**
201413.169819082.5
% change-1+52+84+29

Ex-div:16 Oct

Payment:27 Nov

*Includes intangible assets of £1.2bn or 450p a share

†Adjusted to reflect 30-for-31 share consolidation

**Excludes 110p per share special dividend