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Lloyds resumes dividends

Lloyds Banking Group's first dividend since 2008 marks another step on the path to normality.
February 27, 2015

After a gap of six years, Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) has returned to the dividend list. That's testimony to the bank's success at transforming itself since the financial crash into a low-cost, low-risk UK-focused retail and commercial bank. As part of the strategy, the bank has reduced its international presence from 30 countries in 2010 to just six.

IC TIP: Hold at 80p

Underlying profits, which strip out costs relating to the TSB demerger (£1.5bn) and the payments protection insurance scandal (£2.2bn), increased 26 per cent to £7.8bn. Impairment charges were down 60 per cent to £1.2bn, and costs fell 2 per cent to £9.4bn. Strip out the TSB cost base and the latter figure would have been even lower, at £9bn. The bank has also moved to reduce its reliance on wholesale funding, reducing its loan-to-deposit ratio from 154 per cent in 2010 to 107 per cent last year.

Significantly, these helped boost the bank's Basel III core tier one capital ratio - the central regulatory target - from 10.3 per cent to 12.3 per cent. The bank has also indicated its growing confidence in a number of key operating targets. Tier one capital is expected to rise by 1.5-2 percentage points this year, while the cost-to-income ratio is set to fall to around 45 per cent by 2017, with reductions each year from the 51 per cent recorded in 2014. The bank also expects last year's net interest margin of 2.45 per cent (the spread between the rates it receives from borrowers and those it pays depositors and creditors) to improve to around 2.55 per cent in 2015.

In commercial banking, management was quick to pre-empt political criticism with news that loans to small and medium-sized enterprises rose by 5 per cent, marking the fourth consecutive annual increase in a market where lending has continued to decline. On the retail side, gross mortgage lending rose 13 per cent to £40bn.

Subject to revision, analysts at Investec are forecasting pre-tax profits this year of £6.25bn, giving EPS of 6.3p, with year-end net tangible assets (NTA) of 57p per share.

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP (LLOY)
ORD PRICE:80pMARKET VALUE:£56.7bn
TOUCH:79-80p12-MONTH HIGH:83pLOW: 70p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.9%PE RATIO:47
NET ASSET VALUE:61p 

Year to 31 DecPre-tax profit (£bn)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20100.28-0.5nil
2011-3.54-4.1nil
2012-0.61-2.1nil
20130.42-1.2nil
20141.761.70.75
% change+325--

Ex-div: tba

Payment: tba