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Amerisur well positioned for growth

Amerisur Resources increased production by a third in 2014, but its share price has been hit hard by the recent reserves revision.
April 8, 2015

Just a week after Amerisur Resources (AMER) revealed a 6 per cent downward revision to its proven reserves, the South American driller delivered full-year results broadly in line with expectations. Revenues rose by just under a fifth, while operating profits fell 7 per cent to $68.8m (£46.2m) as a result of the second-half drop in oil prices. Amerisur also took the decision to book a $26.5m write-down on its Fenix block in Colombia due to "geological complexities".

IC TIP: Buy at 24.5p

But the reserves revision, which followed an independent report by Petrotech Engineering, is more significant. It was based partly on poor initial production from the Platanillo-15 and -16 wells, which effectively reduced the volume of oil Amerisur is expected to recover within Petrotech's reserve model. The reserves were also pared back by management’s decision to cut drilling activity so that capital expenditure is matched by cashflows in the new lower oil price environment. Amerisur is confident that this "technical" revision can be reversed once full production is re-established following the completion of the Ecuador pipeline project in the second half of the year.

It's worth noting that average full-year production - though "constrained" last year - was still up by a third at 6,242 barrels of oil per day (bopd). Despite its reduced oil price assumptions, Amerisur has maintained guidance for the current year at 8,200 bopd.

AMERISUR RESOURCES (AMER)
ORD PRICE:25pMARKET VALUE:£239m
TOUCH:22-22.5p12-MONTH HIGH:67pLOW: 20p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:19.5pNET CASH:$95.6m

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
2010 †9.02.00.1nil
201114.04.00.2nil
201242.020.01.4nil
201316975.34.5nil
201419947.52.6nil
% change+18-37-42-

Ex-div: -

Payment: -

†Nine-month period £1 = $1.49