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Coppock says: sell pretty much everything
July 10, 2015

Buy signals are becoming an increasingly rare sight in our Coppock system, and June proved no turning point, with a further barrage of sell signals honing in on both bond and equity markets.

Among them were UK gilt indices, hardly surprising after sell signals on major government bonds in May – and the unofficial buy signal we saw in May on the corporate bond index we track proved short lived, meaning all of the bond indices we track are now flashing red, pointing to further downward pressure. Problems in Greece prompted more sells on European equity markets, including the blue chip EuroStoxx index which tracks its 50 largest companies. A sell signal on the Australian market could prove well timed given its exposure to China, whose current stock market carnage have yet to trouble the Coppock indicator – it’s one of only two equity markets still showing official buy signals, a situation which seems unlikely to persist. Only a buy signal on the GCSI agricultural commodities index provided any respite.

So, while we’re usually blasé about Coppock sell signals, given their patchy track record, the sheer weight of sell signals suggests investors need to be circumspect about the prospects for global markets.

June's new Coppock signals

BuysSells
S&P GCSI Agriculture TR IndexAustralia ASX 200 Index
 Belgium Bel 20 Index
 EuroStoxx 50 Index
 UK FTSE 100 Index
 UK FTSE All Share Index
 Sweden OMX Stockholm Index
 Switzerland Swiss Market Index
 UK 10 Year Gilt
 FT All Government Bond Index
 IBOXX Liquid £ Corp Long-dated
 FTSE British Govt index linked all mats
Cancelled sellsCancelled buys
NoneNone

June's Coppock Readings

North AmericaMar AprMayJunLatest signalLatest signal (date)
SPX29.327.225.3423.11SELLMar-14
DJINDUS21.4320.3219.3917.86SELLJan-15
NASDAQ 10047.5845.1243.9241.75SELLSep-14
NASDAQ COMP37.9136.0335.434.91SELLApr-14
S&P/TSX21.0418.1314.429.67SELLOct-14
Asia Pacific, Africa
BANGKOK S.E.T. - PRICE INDEX29.0228.7525.5321.83SELLApr-15
FTSE BURSA MALAYSIA KLCI - PRICE INDEX0.7-0.79-3.51-6.65SELLMay-14
FTSE CHINA B 35 - PRICE INDEX29.9453.1277.1587.8BUYAug-14
HANG SENG - PRICE INDEX14.8820.4424.7825.63CANCEL SELLOct-14
KOREA SE COMPOSITE (KOSPI) - PRICE INDEX0.942.994.544.91CANCEL SELLMar-15
IDX COMPOSITE - PRICE INDEX36.04232.9630.09123.98SELLApr-15
STRAITS TIMES INDEX L - PRICE INDEX13.7514.9514.4412.04SELLMay-15
TAIWAN SE WEIGHED TAIEX - PRICE INDEX21.2421.0219.3616.76SELLSep-14
TOPIX - PRICE INDEX36.2642.1548.6453.46CANCEL SELLDec-14
ASX 20012.712.612.810SELL*Jun-15
NZ 5021.1820.6620.2318.35SELLMar-15
JSE TOP 4023.721.9818.7215.56SELLSep-14
SENSEX70.9765.2458.8952.73SELLMar-15
South America
MEXICO IPC (BOLSA) - PRICE INDEX13.1514.7214.614.2SELLMay-15
BRAZIL BOVESPA - TOT RETURN IND6.079.578.055.66SELLMay-15
MSCI EM LATIN AMERICA U$ - PRICE INDEX-21.962-24.238-30.194-35.273CANCEL BUYNov-14
Europe/UK
AEX INDEX (AEX) - PRICE INDEX29.8732.5734.9735.75CANCEL SELLJan-15
ATHEX COMPOSITE - PRICE INDEX-40.58-50.57-58.21-63.18SELLJun-14
ATX - AUSTRIAN TRADED INDEX - PRICE INDEX-16.31-13.34-9.8-7.35BUYFeb-14
BEL 20 - PRICE INDEX37.4237.2737.5336.61SELLMay-15
DAX 30 PERFORMANCE - PRICE INDEX29.6430.5331.9832.36CANCEL SELLJan-15
EURO STOXX 50 - PRICE INDEX23.03223.47823.60622.6CANCEL SELLFeb-15
FRANCE CAC 40 - PRICE INDEX17.2218.9520.8821.19CANCEL SELLFeb-15
FTSE 100 - PRICE INDEX3.483.424.42.37SELL*Jun-15
FTSE 250 - PRICE INDEX10.1710.6413.6515.86CANCEL SELLFeb-15
FTSE ALL SHARE - PRICE INDEX4.494.55.824.52SELL*Jun-15
FTSE MIB INDEX - PRICE INDEX20.9119.3518.3616.64SELLJul-14
IBEX 35 - PRICE INDEX25.1122.3519.115.32SELLSep-14
IRELAND SE GENERAL (ISEQ) - PRICE INDEX37.9139.9944.9548.84CANCEL SELLJan-15
OMX STOCKHOLM 30 (OMXS30) - PRICE INDEX35.7436.2937.5935.87SELL*Jun-15
OSLO EXCHANGE ALL SHARE - TOT RETURN IND21.5219.0516.5413.32SELLSep-14
PORTUGAL PSI-20 - PRICE INDEX-31.99-34.01-35.97-36.34SELLJun-14
RUSSIAN MICEX INDEX - PRICE INDEX18.0322.0524.229.57CANCEL SELLJan-15
SWISS MARKET (SMI) - PRICE INDEX16.7815.7415.8214.16SELL*Jun-15

*New signals