Join our community of smart investors

Promising prospects at Pan African

The South African gold miner will be glad to see the back of 2015.
September 17, 2015

The huge challenges facing Pan African Resources (PAF) in recent months were laid bare in full-year results as low grade ore and operational headaches squeezed margins.

IC TIP: Buy at 7p

The South African miner sold 176,000 ounces (oz) of gold at an average of $1,212 (£781)/oz in the year to June, against 188k/oz at $1,303 in 2014. The first half was badly affected by oil contamination at the Barberton mine, which resulted in 11 days of lost production and a 10 per cent jump in costs. At the same time, the low grade cycle at the Evander mines caused an 18.7 per cent jump in cash costs per kilo.

There were a few bright spots, though. Net debt fell by £9m in the second half to £16.6m, while production increases - which are making the platinum operations more profitable - should continue into 2016. Management also intends to return to its progressive dividend policy in the current financial year, and is even eyeing a half-year payout.

Broker Peel Hunt forecasts adjusted pre-tax profit of £50.4m and EPS of 2p, up from £29.9m and 1.2p in the year to June 2015.

PAN AFRICAN RESOURCES (PAF)

ORD PRICE:7pMARKET VALUE:£128m
TOUCH:6.8-7.3p12-MONTH HIGH:14pLOW: 6p
DIVIDEND YIELD:7.7%PE RATIO:11
NET ASSET VALUE:8pNET DEBT:11%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20117926.41.20.51
201210142.22.0nil
201313454.72.60.80
201415433.91.50.82
201514015.80.60.54
% change-9-53-56-34

Ex-div: 10 Dec

Payment: 24 Dec