Paragon (PAG) is making use of a continued rise in the buy-to-let market to diversify its sources of funding and revenue, with its full-year results demonstrating progress on both counts. Underlying pre-tax profit was up a tenth at £135m, powered by an average buy-to-let loan book that grew by 7 per cent over the period. New business here doubled to £1.3bn, with the pipeline also strongly up. The improved credit environment was also a key factor: the loan impairment charge halved to £5.6m.
Net interest margins were up 5 basis points to 2.04 per cent, as the lower-margin business written before the financial crisis is replaced by the higher-margin business written since. But this newer business comes with a higher turnover: annualised redemption rates increased from 4.1 per cent to 5.8 per cent. An increasing amount of buy-to-let loans were issued by its 18-month-old banking operation, which is also growing its motor finance book. What's more, the acquisition of Five Arrows has added asset finance to the mix: both of these are areas of growth, but also growing competition, for alternative lenders.
The funding shift is not before time. Paragon's traditional funding method - securitising its mortgages and selling them to investors - has become more expensive as the UK government offloads its bailed-out mortgage books onto the market. This oversupply means that Paragon has had to pay an increasingly high margin to investors. The £709m in deposits raised by the banking operation (£60m in 2014) will reduce its reliance on the securitisation markets, while a third retail bond issued during the period raised £113m.
Idem Capital, the group's debt management business, increased its underlying profit by 2.5 per cent to £49m, as a strong market saw banks and other financial institutions continuing to offload paying and non-paying loans. Analysts at Peel Hunt expected to increase forecasts for the 2016 financial year by 7 per cent to give adjusted pre-tax profit of £161m and EPS of 42p. That compares with £135m and 35.5p in the reported period.
PARAGON (PAG) | ||||
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ORD PRICE: | 393.3p | MARKET VALUE: | £1.17bn | |
TOUCH: | 393.3-393.9p | 12-MONTH HIGH: | 462p | LOW: 374p |
DIVIDEND YIELD: | 2.8% | PE RATIO: | 11 | |
NET ASSET VALUE: | 327p | LEVERAGE RATIO: | 12 |
Year to 30 Sep | Total operating income (£m) | Pre-tax profit (£m) | Earnings per share (p) | Dividend per share (p) |
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2011 | 151 | 80.8 | 20.2 | 4 |
2012 | 170 | 95.5 | 24.2 | 6 |
2013 | 178 | 105 | 28.2 | 7.2 |
2014 | 198 | 123 | 31.9 | 9 |
2015 | 212 | 134 | 35.5 | 11 |
% change | +7 | +9 | +11 | +22 |
Ex-div: 7 Jan Payment: 15 Feb |