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First Property's Polish pivot

First Property's earnings are pegged to a strong Polish economy - though currency is a problem.
November 27, 2015

A £512,000 currency hit to pre-tax profits shouldn't overly detract from another period of profitable trading at First Property (FPO), which increased its interim dividend by a tenth. More frustrating has been a lack of detail on a government decision to extend permitted development rights (PDR) beyond May 2016, which chief executive Ben Habib says can still be resisted by local authorities.

IC TIP: Buy at 47.25p

That stance is understandable, as the group's PDR fund has made a lot of money. Performance fees from the disposal of its last property were £0.9m, down from £1.9m a year ago. Fortunately, this was more than offset by the strong performance of six properties acquired in Poland and Romania in the second half of 2014.

Third-party assets under management fell due to the winding down of the USS fund. But a fifth of a new UK-focused £125m mandate had been deployed by September, and since the period-end this has risen nearer the 75 per cent threshold at which First Property is allowed to launch another mandate.

The group's market cap has also breached £50m, putting it on the radar of a greater number of institutional investors: Mr Habib says he is now meeting more prospective shareholders than ever before. Broker Arden Partners expects full-year pre-tax profit of £7.3m and EPS of 4.9p, down from £8.1m and 6.4p in the year to March 2015, but new mandates or property investments could trigger upgrades.

FIRST PROPERTY GROUP (FPO)

ORD PRICE:47pMARKET VALUE:£54.0m
TOUCH:47-47.5p12-MONTH HIGH:49pLOW: 29p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.9%PE RATIO:7
NET ASSET VALUE:27pNET DEBT:299%

Half-year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20147.85.44.240.350
201510.95.94.280.385
% change+41+9+1+10

Ex-div: 3 Dec

Payment: 31 Dec