Join our community of smart investors

Aberdeen outflows continue but markets show better signs

Emerging market negativity continued to hurt Aberdeen Asset Management during the first half
May 3, 2016

The size of assets under management was the performance metric investors were watching out for when Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN) reported its first-half results. The emerging markets-focused asset manager has endured tremendous outflows during the past three years as sentiment towards emerging markets has soured.

IC TIP: Sell at 269.5p

There was good and bad news. Assets under management fell to £293bn by the end of the period, from £331bn for the same period last year. However, while the asset manager suffered £9.8bn in net outflows from equities in the first half, this had slowed from £12.4bn in last year's second half, with improved sentiment in both Asia-Pacific and emerging markets.

Recurring fee income fell with assets, down a fifth to £482m. What's more, the blended average management fee rate also declined from 35.5 basis points to 33.4 basis points, due to outflows from higher-margin equity products. However, compare Aberdeen's first-half performance with the second half of last year and there are signs of improvement. A net £7.8bn in assets were added via acquisition, including the purchase of Arden, Parmenion and Advance. The group also generated positive investment performance of £10.1bn, meaning assets under management were actually £9bn up since 30 September 2015.

Analysts at Peel Hunt expect adjusted pre-tax profits of £323m and EPS of 18.8p for 2016 (down from £492m and 30p in 2015).

ABERDEEN ASSET MANAGEMENT (ADN)

ORD PRICE:269.5pMARKET VALUE:£3.55bn
TOUCH:269.2-269.6p12-MONTH HIGH:465pLOW: 209p
DIVIDEND YIELD:7.2%PE RATIO:16
NET ASSET VALUE:128p*NET CASH:£401m

Half-year to 31 MarchTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201568318510.97.5
2016539995.57.5
% change-21-47-50-

Ex-div:12 May

Payment:16 Jun

*Includes intangible assets of £1.53bn, or 116p a share