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Great Portland's gearing at record low, pipeline at record high

Great Portland operates in a supply constrained sector, with little exposure to the financial sector
May 27, 2016

Great Portland Estates (GPOR) delivered another stunning performance in the year to March. The upcoming EU referendum may be raising a question for overseas investment, but Great Portland doesn't cater for financial businesses. It operates in the exclusive West End, where three-quarters of the buildings are listed. That keeps supply very tight.

IC TIP: Buy at 778p

This can be seen from the near-20 per cent jump in adjusted net asset value (NAV) to 847p, with net assets climbing from £2.39bn to £2.91bn. Great Portland has its biggest ever development pipeline of around 850,000 sq ft, but with recent signings around 70 per cent of this has already been pre-let. And while it spent £214m on acquisitions, this was more than covered by disposals of £470m at an average value of £1,943 per sq ft. This is third successive year that it has been a net seller and the current year is expected to be the fourth.

Asset appreciation and capital generation has had a transformational effect on gearing, and the loan to value ratio fell to an all-time low of 17.4 per cent. Net rental income grew from £66m to £76m, and the reversionary element grew to 33 per cent, two-thirds of which is expected to be crystallised within the next two years.

Analysts at Peel Hunt are forecasting adjusted NAV at the March 2017 year-end of 930p a share, compared with 847p a year earlier.

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES (GPOR)
ORD PRICE:778pMARKET VALUE:£2.68bn
TOUCH:778-778.5p12-MONTH HIGH:893pLOW: 681p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.2%TRADING PROPERTIES:£172m
DISCOUNT TO NAV:8%NET DEBT: 20%
INVESTMENT PROPERTIES:£3.48bn*

Year to 31 MarNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2012402155508.4
2013451181568.6
20145644221238.8
20156955071489.0
20168475551639.2
% change+22+9+10+2

Ex-div: 2 Jun

Payment: 11 Jul

*Includes joint ventures