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Blue-chip momentum screen continues to falter

My blue-chip momentum screen has been having a lousy run, but if history is any guide, the strategy should still come good over the long term
June 16, 2016

The disappointing run from my blue-chip momentum screen has continued over the past three months. Not only have the long picks underperformed the FTSE 100 (the third time this has happened in the past five three-month screening periods), but the shorts have once again outperformed (the fourth time they've done this in the past five quarters). The market's nervousness has really not suited the strategy, with one period's favoured bets quickly becoming yesterday's news. Meanwhile, swift turns in sentiment mean the short portfolio has racked up strong gains over recent periods, most notably due to the incredible rally in resources stocks.

 

LONGSSHORTS
Name15 Mar - 9 Jun 2016Name15 Mar - 9 Jun 2016
Anglo American 37%Legal & General  1.7%
Glencore -1.0%Marks and Spencer  -6.1%
Randgold Resources4.9%Whitbread 6.8%
Fresnillo 31%Inmarsat -23%
Tesco -16%Berkeley3.7%
Rolls-Royce-12%Hikma Pharmaceuticals 31%
Antofagasta -18%Royal Bank of Scotland  -5.2%
Pearson -5.3%Barclays 7.7%
Burberry  -19%Ashtead  20%
Smiths  4.5%Sports Direct Int-5.4%
Average0.5%-3.1%
FTSE 1001.6%-1.6%

Source: S&P Capital IQ

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