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Returns back on the Rio Tinto agenda

A year after scrapping its progressive dividend policy, the diversified miner has shown its willingness to out-match its new pay rate.
February 8, 2017

Whisper it: Rio Tinto (RIO) is an income stock again. Operational discipline and a little help from commodity prices meant the diversified miner could return the focus on shareholder income in its full-year results, just a year after abandoning the progressive dividend. So, despite downgrading expectations for its full-year payout to a minimum of 115¢ a share, Rio has demonstrated its willingness to ignore its revised policy to pass on 40 to 60 per cent of underlying earnings to investors. In fact, a total return of $3.6bn (£2.9bn), including a newly announced $500m share buyback scheme, equates to more than 70 per cent of the $5.1bn underlying earnings booked last year.

IC TIP: Hold at 3527p

Not even a c-suite bribery scandal and the looming threat of strikes at the part-owned Escondida copper mine could supplant 2016's recovery story. A pick-up in iron ore and coal prices in the second half, along with disposals, lower impairments and exchange losses, fed through to robust operating cash flows of $8.5bn.

Free cash flow of $5.8bn came in below the $6.3bn forecast by HSBC, which is guiding for underlying EPS of $4.12 ($2.80 in 2016) and free cash flow of $8.2bn in 2017.

 

RIO TINTO (RIO)

ORD PRICE:3,527pMARKET VALUE:£65.50bn
TOUCH:3,526-3,529p12-MONTH HIGH:3,685pLOW: 1,605p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.9%PE RATIO:17
NET ASSET VALUE:2,184¢NET DEBT:21%

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201251.00-2.40-163167
201351.203.50198192
201447.669.55353215
201534.83-0.73-47.5215
201633.786.34257170
% change-3---21

Ex-div: 23 Feb

Payment: 6 Apr

£1 = $1.25

NAV and market value reflect both UK and Australian shares