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Man's good news is priced in

The hedge fund group managed positive flows and investment gains last year, but margins are still under pressure
March 6, 2017

Man (EMG) may be turning a corner. The continued popularity of quant strategies, which trade using algorithms rather than manager discretion, offset outflows from subsidiary GLG's funds, in particular. Overall, net inflows were $1.9bn (£1.5bn) during 2016. However, a reduction in funds under management and thus fees (as well as lower performance fees) for GLG led management to write-down $281m in goodwill relating to the business. It wrote down a further $98m in goodwill in relation to its 2000 acquisition of fund-of-funds business Glenwood, wiping out reported pre-tax profit.

IC TIP: Sell at 143.2p

At group level, funds under management increased by 3 per cent to $80.9bn, primarily due to $3.2bn in investment gains. Long-only strategies were the top performers, gaining $3bn in value. But net management fee revenue fell by 9 per cent to $691m, on the back of lower GLG assets and the run-off in higher-margin guaranteed products.

The better news was that 2017 is the last year management expects these products to have a significant year-on-year impact on its overall management fees, since GLG has just $400m funds under management.

Analysts at Numis expect adjusted pre-tax profit of $229m for the 12 months to December 2017, giving EPS of 11.9¢ (from $205m and 10.4¢ in 2016).

MAN (EMG)

ORD PRICE:143.2pMARKET VALUE:£2.39bn
TOUCH:143.1-143.3p12-MONTH HIGH:164pLOW: 103p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.1%PE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:100¢*NET CASH:$240m

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earning per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20121.30-748-45.822
20131.16563.022
20141.1538420.87.9
20151.1418410.110.2
20160.83-272-15.89
% change-36---59

Ex-div: 20 Apr

Payment: 12 May

*Includes intangible assets of $1.04bn, or 62¢ a share £1=$1.23