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Ophir looks to 'monetise smartly'

Cashed up, derisked and approaching a major project sanction, Ophir is nicely poised.
March 13, 2017

A year ago, Ophir Energy (OPHR) announced it was tearing up the high-risk, speculative oil playbook, in favour of a commitment to "find low, monetise smartly". The company made some ground on this pledge in 2016, pushing ahead with plans to spud the Ayame-1X well in Côte d'Ivoire, while the Tanzanian LNG project, in which the energy company now owns a 20 per cent stake, counts Shell as an operator. In the latter case, and despite some disappointing results, Ophir is confident that a final investment decision will be accelerated, albeit to a vague promise for "later this decade".

IC TIP: Buy at 87p

Of course, the Fortuna project offshore Equatorial Guinea remained the main focus in 2016, as it will do this year. And while the creation of a venture with Schlumberger and Golar LNG to finance and develop the field may have sacrificed a good chunk of Ophir's eventual take, the London-listed group will not incur "any additional balance sheet exposure or liabilities". A final investment decision on the project, expected in the summer, is set to be based on a net present value representing "a healthy multiple" of the $120m (£99m) committed before first gas.

Market consensus is for a pre-tax loss of $1m and a 3¢ loss per share in 2017, and a pre-tax profit of $23.9m the year after (loss per share of 1.3¢).

OPHIR ENERGY (OPHR)

ORD PRICE:87pMARKET VALUE:£613m
TOUCH:86.5-87p12-MONTH HIGH:103pLOW: 64p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:223¢NET CASH:$160m

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
20121.0-40.9-10.2nil
2013neg-280-45.0nil
2014neg2889.4nil
2015161-376-47.1nil
2016107-50.1-11.0nil
% change-33-87--

Ex-div: na

Payment: na

£1=$1.22