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Applegreen expands margins and estate

Without clobbering profitability, the forecourt retailer is growing at a pace
March 14, 2017

Six months ago, there was some concern that Applegreen 's (APGN) expansion into the UK amounted to an investment in dilutive earnings. But while a weaker sterling did impact the Dublin-headquartered group's euro-denominated full-year results, a heady year of expansion still meant a 16 per cent jump in gross profit in 2016. Although that figure would have been 4 percentage points higher if currencies had not moved, it's worth bearing in mind that the forecourt retailer is also growing at a clip in the US, where the dollar remains relatively strong against the euro.

IC TIP: Hold at 418p

As is often the case with international business, currency movements wash out in the long term; for Applegreen, a more pertinent measure of financial health is investment. During the period, the total estate grew 22 per cent to 243 sites, resulting in capital expenditure of €60.3m (£52.9m), a figure that nonetheless failed to put a big dent in its strong balance sheet liquidity. In fact, year-end net debt of €19.4m came in well below analyst forecasts.

Trading was mixed, although investors will take encouragement from a 74 basis point improvement in the overall gross profit margin. Much of those gains came from better store and food sales, as a rising oil price and the increasing proliferation of fuel cards kept margins tight at the pump.

Shore Capital upgraded its forecasts on these numbers, and now expects pre-tax profit of €22.1m and EPS of 22.9¢ this year, jumping to $26.2m and 27.1¢ in 2018.

APPLEGREEN (APGN)

ORD PRICE:418pMARKET VALUE:£336m
TOUCH:408-428p12-MONTH HIGH:418pLOW: 330p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.3%PE RATIO:22
NET ASSET VALUE:143¢NET DEBT:17%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (€bn)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
2012*0.717.311.4nil
2013*0.7916.224.4nil
20140.9414.920.5nil
20151.0813.917.1nil
20161.1819.521.51.25
% change+9+40+26-

Ex-div: 8 Jun

Payment: 29 Jun

£1=€1.14. *Pre-IPO figures.