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Raven Russia's rouble revival

Switching into rouble denominated rents has eased the pressure on tenants
March 14, 2017

Raven Russia (RUS) may be starting to turn the corner after a difficult few years of trading. Specialising in leasing warehouse space mainly around Moscow, the group hit a bad patch when falling oil prices hammered the Russian rouble at a time when tenants were obliged to pay rent in dollars.

IC TIP: Buy at 50p

Thankfully, the business model has been adapted towards collecting rent in roubles, and trading has been improved by the rouble's appreciation against the dollar. Rouble rents now account for just under a quarter of Rouble denominated rental income. A total of £109m was raised in July through the issue of preference shares, which was used to reduce debt. And following this financial restructuring - which included negotiating a lease from $31m of loans for a $16m payment - the group accumulated nearly $200m in cash, and since the year-end $83m of this has been used to buy three properties in St Petersburg at an initial yield of over 16 per cent, which will generate annual income of $13m.

As well as paying 3.2p per share on the preference shares, ordinary shareholders will be paid a final dividend by way of a tender buy-back of 1 in 26 shares at 52p a share, equivalent to 2p a share which, with an interim payment equates to a full-year payout of 2.5p a share.

IBES consensus forecasts are for adjusted EPS of 0.085¢ for 2017, falling to 0.055¢ in 2018.

RAVEN RUSSIA (RUS)
ORD PRICE:50pMARKET VALUE:£334m
TOUCH:50-51.5p12-MONTH HIGH:52pLOW: 28p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5%DEVELOPMENT PROPERTIES:$41m
DISCOUNT TO NAV:16%NET DEBT: 108%
INVESTMENT PROP:$1.3bn

Year to 31 DecNet asset value (¢)Pre-tax profit (m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
2012122635.23.75
201312228-0.75
2014101-98-12.36
201572-205-28.82
201676221.172.5
% change+6--+25

Ex-div: See text

Payment: -

£1=$1.22