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Berkeley still building

Created:
7 December 2007
Written by:
Jonas Crosland

Berkeley Group pushed profits ahead at the half-way stage, while the number of units sold rose from 1,296 a year earlier to 1,630. The average selling price fell from £284,000 to £245,000 - this reflected a change in the product mix rather than a collapse in demand and that's forecast to reverse in the second half.

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In fact, demand is holding-up well and the company even managed to boost operating margins, up from 19.5 per cent to 21.8 per cent. What's more, Berkeley also increased the size of its land bank from 30,128 plots in April to 31,307. And forward sales improved by 55 per cent to £1.45bn, which means that the group is fully sold for the current financial year and well placed to meet its output targets for 2009.

Meanwhile, plans to return further funds to shareholders have been brought forward, so that a 200p per share payment will be made on 4 January. The remaining 300p payment is due before January 2011, and ordinary dividend payments at a cover of less than two times will be introduced thereafter.

Citi Investment research is forecasting full-year pre-tax profits of £205m and diluted EPS of 119.9p (£188.1m and 111.9p in 2007).

BERKELEY GROUP (BKG)
ORD PRICE: 1,304p MARKET VALUE: £ 1,576m
TOUCH: 1303-1304p 12-MONTH HIGH: 1,939p LOW: 1,255p
DIVIDEND YIELD: nil PE RATIO: 11
NET ASSET VALUE: 704p NET CASH: £113m

Half-year to 31 Oct Turnover (£m) Pretax profit (£m) Earnings per share (p) Net div per share(p)*
2006 381 81.5 49.8 nil
2007 441 90.6 52.6 nil
% change +16 +11 +6 -

*Excludes special dividends to shareholders

Click here for a guide to the terms used in IC results tables.


IC VIEW:

FairlyPriced

Berkeley looks well placed in its market niche - the group also boasts a solid land bank and plenty of cash. But, trading on a forward PE ratio of 11, the shares are hardly cheap for a housebuilder. Fairly priced.

Last IC view: Fairly priced, 1,811p, 29 June 2007


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