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Unilever fends off cost inflation

Created:
11 February 2008
Written by:
Nathalie Olof-Ors

€1.5bn (£1.17bn) might seem a lot of money, but it wasn't enough to satisfy investors' appetite when it came to Unilever's share buy-back. Some analysts were expecting a share repurchase programme of up to €2bn. Still, there was much to cheer about on the progress being made in the business.

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Underlying revenues grew by 5.5 per cent last year, ahead of Unilever's 3-5 per cent target, driven by higher volumes and price increases, which also helped to fend off soft commodity inflation. This sales momentum was well-spread across regions and product categories as a result of product innovation, notably the roll-out of Dove Pro Age shampoos. A focus on healthier products, such as Hellmann's extra light mayonnaise, also helped. However, Unilever reported a slowdown in sales of home and personal care products in the US.

Operating profit was down 3 per cent to €5.24bn, but this reflected higher restructuring charges and a reduction in pension gains. The Anglo-Dutch giant is progressing well in its reorganisation, having moved some of its South American operations into a single head office.

Broker Numis Securities forecasts a 2008 full-year EPS of 148¢ (from 140¢), rising to 167¢ in 2009.

Unilever (ULVR)

ORD PRICE: 1,611p MARKET VALUE**: £46.5bn
TOUCH: 1,611-1,612p 12-MONTH HIGH: 1,926p LOW: 1,334p
DIVIDEND YIELD: 3.2% PE RATIO: 16
NET ASSET VALUE*: 429 cents NET DEBT: 65%

Year to 31 Dec Turnover (€bn) Pre-tax profit (€bn) Earnings per share (¢) Dividend per share (p)
2003 42.7 4.54 94 40.22
2004 38.8 3.70 94 42.67
2005 38.4 4.52 107 45.13
2006 39.6 4.83 119 47.66
2007 40.2 5.18 132 51.11
% change +1 +7 +11 +7

Ex-div:21 May

Payment:19 Jun

*Includes intangible assets of €16.7bn, or 578¢ a share

**Market value of Unilever Plc and Nv £1=€1.34

Click here for a guide to the terms used in IC results tables.


IC View

GoodValue

The group restructuring is starting to deliver and there is still some upside on that front as Unilever plans to sell its US laundry business. The share buy-back programme might be lower than market expectations, but it leaves room for bolt-on acquisitions, similar to the recently acquired Inmarko Russian ice cream business. Good value.

Last IC view: Good value, 3 Aug 2007, at 1559p


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