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Dunelm flags up retail woes in 2009

Created:
12 September 2008
Written by:
Julian Hofmann

Dunelm delivered solid full-year results as its budget kitchen and homeware attracted cash-strapped shoppers, but revealed that it had faced 'difficult trading conditions' coming into the new financial year.

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It said that like-for-like sales in the first 10 weeks had fallen by 5.7 per cent, compared with a 7.2 per cent rise last year. However, while it admitted that it was 'cautious' about the medium-term outlook, it also claimed that poor market conditions should allow it to grow at the expense of weaker competitors.

And its expansion plans are now showing signs of slacking, with up to seven new stores due to open this year. It believes that, because of weakness in the commercial property market, it will be able to accelerate new store openings, too. Dunelm also intends to enlarge its web presence by investing in new technology and expanding its online product range to 9,000.

Broker Landsbanki forecasts full-year pre-tax profits of £46.1m, and EPS of 15.8p. It said that the company should prove to be more resilient than others in the retail sector because of its low levels of debt.

DUNELM (DNLM)

ORD PRICE: 148p MARKET VALUE: £295.8m
TOUCH: 148-155p 12-MONTH HIGH: 218p LOW: 112p
DIVIDEND YIELD: 3.7% PE RATIO: 9
NET ASSET VALUE: 43p NET DEBT: 8%

Year to 28 Jun Turnover (£m) Pre-tax profit (£m) Earnings per share (p) Dividend per share (p)
2006 315 38.0 13.1 *
2007 355 37.8 12.3 3.8
2008 391 49.1 16.6 5.5
% change +10 +30 +35 +45

Ex-div: 19 Nov

Payment: 5 Dec

*Prior to listing

Guide to the terms used in IC results tables.

More analysis of company results

More articles, comment and data on Dunelm


IC VIEW

GoodValue

Times will certainly be hard for retail in 2009, but Dunelm looks well positioned to attract bargain-hunting consumers. The shares trade on a PE ratio of nine times 2009 earnings, which is 20 per cent below its sector peers, and are good value.

Last IC view: Buy, 147p, 28 Feb 2008


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