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INFORMA (INF)

Created:
29 September 2006

Informa's three business units are firing on all cylinders. And unlike most media operations it has avoided the advertising recession because it earns just 3 per cent of revenues from ad sales. The company has instead developed new revenue streams by merging with Taylor & Francis in 2004 and IIR in July last year. This last merger in particular appears to be paying off nicely, generating good cost savings and adding to the number of markets where Informa is the leader.

Advertising

The inclusion of IIR also boosted reported sales, but organic revenue growth was still impressive at 11 per cent, twice the rate achieved in the first half of 2005. Informa's events business was particularly strong, with sales up 28 per cent on a pro-forma basis. Marketing spend is now increasingly shifting from advertising to direct methods such as events, which is benefiting the group. There was strong growth in Informa's publishing and performance-improvement business, too, with sales up by 11 per cent and 16 per cent respectively.

Numis Securities is therefore forecasting adjusted full-year EPS of 29.9p, rising to 34.3p in 2007.

Ord price: 479p Market value: £2bn
Touch: 477-479p 12-month High: 498p Low: 353p
Dividend yield: 1.9% PE ratio: na
Net asset value: 219p* Net debt: 80%

*Includes intangible assets of £2bn, or 479p a share

Half-year Turnover Pre-tax Earnings Dividend per
to 30 Jun (£m) profit (£m) per share (p) share (p)
2005 260 -58.9 14.55 2.7
2006 534 39.1 6.99 3.3
% change +105 - -52 +22

Last IC view: Good value, 446p, 17 Mar 2006

Ex-div: 4 Oct

Payment: 6 Nov

Informa combines good defensive elements, including strong cash flow and strong market positions, with decent growth. But its shares trade on a forward earnings multiple of 14 for 2007, which doesn't reflect these excellent qualities. Good value.


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