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Value emerging in small-cap rubble

Created:
14 October 2008
Written by:
Graeme Davies and Richard Hemming

The flight from risk has dealt a particularly savage blow to the UK's smaller companies, but value remains - it just takes some searching out. Our latest number crunching shows that, to the end of last week, just three smaller companies had risen by more than 15 per cent over the past month and it appears that with all three, cash, or the promise of corporate activity, is attracting investor interest.

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Recent trading at music group Chrysalis has been far from inspiring, but the group is a perennial takeover candidate, and is still locked in talks with potential suitors. Its 21 per cent rise in a month suggests significant support for a successful takeover - brave when you consider it's only been six months since the collapse of previous talks.

The biggest riser in our search, petrol retailer GNE Group, will soon be awash with cash having agreed to sell its petrol retail business for £51.7m. This will lead to 150p a share special dividend, so investors buying at today's 175p get most of their money back and a stake in a cash shell with a proven management team with £15m to spend on petrol retailing companies in Europe. With retail shares having taken a pounding and economic conditions likely to prompt some distress selling of assets, now is a good time to be cash rich.

Finally, the Marwyn Group provides the third significant riser of the past month in Marwyn Materials. The Marwyn group has an enviable record in the smaller companies world for floating cash shells which go on to build substantial businesses before selling, often for a big return. Marwyn Materials has been set up to do the same in the building materials market. It's not an obvious growth arena, given what's happening in the property market, but the industry is fragmented and executives with strong industry experience are on board and its shares have risen 17 per cent, boosted by hopes of a deal - aggregates business Ennstone is thought to be in its sights.

Small-cap shakers

Company Code Price (p) 30D price chng % 12M price chng % Market Cap (£m)
GNE GNE  175p  39 83  £25m 
Marwyn MMAT  18.5p  18 na  £25m 
Chrysalis CHS  113.3p  15 8  £190m 

On the downside, 47 companies in our £20m-£100m market cap universe suffered falls of 50 per cent or more in the past month. One prominent group of casualties are soft commodity stocks. These were booming earlier in the year, but as commodity prices have corrected, share price have tumbled. Ukrainian wheat and oil seed rape grower Landkom has shed 64 per cent of its value and Chinese orange grower Asian Citrus is off 60 per cent, as investors react to the prospect of a prolonged economic slowdown and recent commodity price falls.

Although small resources companies have fallen much harder than their larger counterparts, value is more difficult to find, according to one resources fund manager we spoke to. It is crucial that not only is the asset a good one but, more importantly, that the miner is pretty much entering, or has commenced, production, and funding from either the equity or debt markets, isn't needed. Companies in this position include Finish nickel miner Talvivaara, gold miner Centamin Egypt and Platinum Australia.

Small-cap quakers

Company Code Price p 30D price chng % 12M price chng % Market Cap (£m)
JJB Sports JJB  17.5p  -85 -90  £42m 
Bateman Litwin BNLN  15.5p  -80 -94  £17.4m 
Dawnay Day Treveria DTR  €7.0c  -74 -93  €44m 
Mwana Africa MWA  7.0p  -73 -88  £28m 
Landkom LKI  15.3p  -61 -74  £30.5m 
Asian Citrus ACHL  85.0p  -60 -67  £82m 
Platinum Australia PLAA  35.5p  -57 -61  £78m 
Centamin Egypt CEY  27.3p  -41 -57  £239m 


SMALL CAP MOVERS AND SHAKERS

SMALL CAP MOVERS & SHAKERS is a regular online column devoted to seeking out shares with genuine underlying price momentum, not just those that are zipping up and down every day.

You can view shares making new lows and highs, along with a host of other metrics, at our MARKETS CONSOLE. For more sophisticated searches, you can use our STOCK SCREENING TOOL - although you'll have to register (it's free) first.

If there are any shares you think we should be keepng an eye on, LET US KNOW via the Your Opinion page!


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