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Booker protects bottom line

Wholesaler Booker has managed to insulate its profits from a dip in half-year sales
October 15, 2015

The 1 per cent dip in Booker's (BOK) top line came as no surprise to regular followers of the stock. The wholesaler flagged a difficult second quarter in early September, following a sustained decline in tobacco sales that offset marginal growth from non-tobacco products. But a 30 basis point improvement in margins to 3.3 per cent protected the bottom line at the half-year stage. The resulting 10 per cent profit growth actually exceeded the market's expectations.

IC TIP: Hold at 176p

The group also finished the six-month period with £118m in the bank. It shelled out £62m for the 2015 special dividend of 3.5p, but only handed over £40m for its acquisition of Musgrave Retail Partners, owner of budget grocery chains Londis and Budgens, after the period-end in September. In the short term, Booker's bosses said integrating Londis and Budgens into the group will act as a drag on operating profit, but together the businesses should add roughly £5m to the bottom line in FY2017. Management also intends to pay another special dividend of about 3.5p to shareholders in July 2016, although no announcement will be made before the annual results next May.

For now, Booker is keeping busy with its 'focus, drive and broaden' plan. It hopes to drive sales growth by improving choice, price and service for customers, as well as expanding further into the catering market. The 'broaden' part of the plan covers the move into retail as well as Booker's online expansion - web-based sales rose 11 per cent to £461m. The group's new Indian business also fits into the 'broaden' strategy. Finally, the 'focus' initiative aims to maintain cash discipline and improve operational efficiency wherever possible.

Having updated their numbers in light of the Musgrave deal, analysts at Investec expect pre-tax profit of £152m for the current financial year, giving EPS of 7p, compared with £139m and 6.6p in the year ended March 2015. They have also raised their profit forecasts for the 2017 financial year from £164m to £171m, assuming a turnaround at Musgrave.

BOOKER (BOK)
ORD PRICE:176pMARKET VALUE:£3.1bn
TOUCH:176-176.2p12-MONTH HIGH:188pLOW: 114p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.1%PE RATIO:25
NET ASSET VALUE:30p*NET CASH:£118m

Half-year to 11 SepTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20142.2667.43.20.52
20152.2474.13.50.57
% change-1+10+9+10

Ex-div: 29 Oct

Payment: 27 Nov

*Includes intangible assets of £439m, or 25p a share