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Brexit flight from equities burns Henderson in first half

The UK's decision to leave the EU has hurt managers exposed to the European equities market
July 28, 2016

It's an understatement to say heavy exposure to European equities isn’t serving fund manager Henderson Group (HGG) particularly well this year. It saw a surge in net outflows running up to the EU referendum, according to chief executive Andrew Formica, a trend which worsened significantly once Britain voted ‘leave’. For the six months ended June, the group recorded £2bn in net outflows – the worst performance since 2011.

IC TIP: Hold at 231p

Overall, assets under management rose 3 per cent thanks to beneficial foreign exchange movements, but underlying pre-tax profits fell 14 per cent to £101m as a result of lower performance fees, £123m in compensation costs and higher non-staff operating costs. Although flows are moderating, Mr Formica reckons the group is still losing close to £100m a week in net outflows.

Still, a strong balance sheet and net cash position allowed the group to nudge the interim dividend up 3 per cent. Mr Formica argues the absence of a financial crisis similar to that of 2008 should give clients more confidence to resume investing in the near-term.

Analysts at Numis still expect pre-tax profits of £223m for the year ending December 2016, giving EPS of 15.6p, compared to £220m and 17.2p in FY2015.

HENDERSON GROUP (HGG)
ORD PRICE:231pMARKET VALUE:£ 2.62bn
TOUCH:231-231.3p12-MONTH HIGH:314pLOW: 193p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.5%PE RATIO:20
NET ASSET VALUE:92p*NET CASH:£151m

Half-year to 30 JuneTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201536598.18.33.1
201635768.44.93.2
% change-2-30-41+3

Ex-div:25 Aug

Payment:16 Sep

*Includes intangible assets of £672m or 59p a share