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Stagecoach rides high in America

RESULTS: Stagecoach had a strong first half, particularly in North America, where megabus is riding high
December 11, 2013

Stagecoach (SGC) did a little better than expected during the first half, driven largely by accelerating profits in North America. Underlying operating profit edged up 1 per cent to £126.5m and, with public transport here increasingly popular as well, the bus and train company is confident of hitting year-end targets.

IC TIP: Hold at 364p

If it does, much will be down to its US inter-city megabus service where like-for-like revenue sped 23 per cent higher to $90.8m (£55.4m). A big increase in margins generated underlying operating profit of $30.6m, up 40 per cent, driven largely by lower start-up losses from new services and better weather. Management predicts a big increase in full-year profit, too, but warns that costly expansion will likely subdue growth next year. Back on home soil, rising fuel costs and lower government grants nipped 50 basis points off the operating margin at Stagecoach's core regional bus business. Still, a 15.2 per cent margin remains impressive and profit grew 5.6 per cent to £76.9m after stripping out £4m of Olympics money. A tight grip on costs increased returns at the London bus operation where new contracts should return the business to revenue growth in the second half, although rising staff and energy costs weighed on rail, trimming profit there to £18m.

Investec Securities has tweaked estimates higher and expects full-year adjusted pre-tax profit of £182.4m, giving adjusted EPS of 25.1p (from £218.9m and 29.7p in 2013).

STAGECOACH (SGC)

ORD PRICE:364pMARKET VALUE:£2.09bn
TOUCH:364-365p12-MONTH HIGH:371pLow: 285p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.4%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:9pNET DEBT:£495m

Half-year to 31 OctTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20121.4096.813.12.6
20131.4798.513.72.9
% change+5+2+5+12

Ex-div: 5 Feb

Payment: 5 Mar

*Includes intangible assets of £150m, or 26p a share