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Cycle revolution at Halfords

RESULTS: Soaring bike sales propelled growth at high street retailer Halfords (HFD) last year, prompting management to upgrade profit guidance
May 23, 2014

Soaring bicycle sales propelled growth at Halfords (HFD) last year. Group revenue rose 7 per cent on a like-for-like basis, leaving pre-tax profit at the upper end of consensus estimates at £72.8m. This stellar performance prompted chief executive Matt Davies to announce that the retailer was one year ahead of its recovery strategy. It will now exceed its 2012-13 cash profit level of £103m in the current financial year, rather than in 2015-16 as previously guided.

IC TIP: Buy at 482p

Underlying bike sales surged 19 per cent, and in the final quarter the growth rate reached an eye-watering 42 per cent. The growing popularity of cycling and good summer weather were factors, but self-help initiatives also played their part: refreshed bike ranges, store refits and a wider selection of parts, accessories and clothing drew customers in. A new website, launched in November, also helped: online revenues jumped 18 per cent. So far, however, the recovery has come at the cost of margins; overall retail sales rose 8 per cent to £803m, but underlying operating profits were only up 2 per cent at £75.2m.

Robust growth in retail offset a slower performance from the smaller autocentres division. Still a work in progress, the unit saw profit slump 32 per cent to £4.3m. That was due to investment in infrastructure, IT - the operating platform hadn't been upgraded for a decade - and, crucially, customer service, which has historically been poor. Having appointed a new boss at the end of the year, Mr Davies says the autocentres are now "in much better hands".

Last year autocentre sales grew 9 per cent, but like-for-like sales were flat - suggesting expansion has been too fast. The opening programme will now slow, with Halfords focusing on fewer, larger centres. Management expects underlying sales to pick up substantially this year, boosting cash profits. At the group level, broker Peel Hunt expects pre-tax profit of £80m for 2015, giving EPS of 30.4p.

HALFORDS (HFD)
ORD PRICE:482pMARKET VALUE:£960m
TOUCH:482-483p12-MONTH HIGH:499pLOW: 297p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3%PE RATIO:17
NET ASSET VALUE:164p*NET DEBT:31%

Year to 28 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201083211036.820
201187011840.722
20128639434.222
20138717127.217.1
20149407328.614.3
% change+8+2+5-16

Ex-div: 2 Jul

Payment: 1 Aug

*Includes intangible assets of £342m, or 172p a share