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Investment bank weakness hits HSBC

HSBC is still generating plenty of capital, but the investment banking arm is under pressure and the net interest margin has continued to slide
August 5, 2014

Even after adjusting for last year's exceptionals - when earnings were inflated by such factors as disposals and an accounting gain from the reclassification of a holding in China's Industrial Bank - and HSBC's (HSBA) underlying half-year pre-tax profit still fell $0.5bn (£0.3bn) to $12.6bn.

IC TIP: Buy at 638.7p

That was partly down to a further $234m provision to cover customer redress costs in the UK (essentially, PPI-related compensation). Of more significance, however, was a lacklustre performance at the lender's global banking and markets division (investment banking). Revenue there fell 9 per cent, primarily driven by a slide in foreign exchange-related activity amid continued low levels of volatility. That's hardly ideal given that the division generated 41 per cent of profit in the half, leaving it as the lender's largest profit centre.

The bank's net interest margin (the difference between what it charges borrowers and its funding costs) fell 22 basis points to 1.95 per cent, too. This, explains banking analyst Ian Gordon of broker Investec, is due to the impact of "extended near-zero interest rates" as well as a shift in business mix from disposals.

Still, improving credit quality did cut HSBC's impairment charge by 41 per cent to $1.8bn. That's not bad given that, just two years ago - and as the lender struggled with a bad debt crisis at its US consumer arm (now in run-down) - the charge was nearer $5bn. HSBC found a further $0.5bn of savings in the half, too, leaving it on track to deliver its planned $2bn-$3bn of savings between 2014 and 2016.

Add cost savings to restructuring efforts since 2011 - which have seen more than 60 non-core operations sold or closed - and the capital cushion received a further boost. In fact, HSBC's Basel III common equity tier one capital ratio rose 0.4 percentage points in the half to an impressively healthy 11.3 per cent.

Broker Investec Securities expects full-year EPS of 83.7¢, tangible net assets of 798¢ a share and a 51¢ dividend (from 84.3¢, 768¢ and 49¢, respectively, in 2013).

HSBC HOLDINGS (HSBA)

ORD PRICE:638.7pMARKET VALUE:£122bn
TOUCH:638.6-638.8p12-MONTH HIGH:759pLOW: 585p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.6%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:1,001¢ 

Half-year to 30 JunPre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201314.15420
201412.35020
% change-13-7-

Ex-div: 20 Aug

Payment: 9 Oct

£1=$1.68