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Capture US financials growth with Jupiter Financial Opportunities

Jupiter Financial Opportunities has had a difficult few years, but 'Trumpflation' could be about to change that
January 19, 2017

Funds that invest in financial companies have been out of favour for several years, dragged down by deflation fears and low interest rates in the wake of the financial crisis. But the start of Donald Trump's presidency in the US could boost the country's financial sector if he delivers on tax cuts and introduces lighter regulation. And IC Top 100 Fund Jupiter Financial Opportunities (GB00B5LG4657) is well placed to benefit from this possibility, as it has more than 50 per cent of its portfolio in North America.

IC TIP: Buy at 572.74pp
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points
  • High US financials exposure
  • Experienced management team
  • Positive outlook for sector
  • Globally diversified
Bear points
  • Recent underperformance

"The outlook for S&P 500 Financials, which has risen 17 per cent since 8 November 2016, is promising, spurred on by rising interest rates and a possible repeal of regulation leading to an increase in financial activity," says Nick Peters, multi-asset portfolio manager at Fidelity International.

Any increase in infrastructure spending is likely to boost inflation, leading to higher interest rates, and higher interest rates would benefit banks as they would make more money on their funds, boosting their profits.

Jupiter Financial Opportunities has just under a third of its assets in banks, its largest sector exposure. It also invests in the shares of other types of financials, including insurance and real-estate-related companies across various geographies. After the US, its largest regional exposure is Europe ex UK, which accounts for 31 per cent of assets.

The fund is run by Guy de Blonay, who has established a sound record of consistent alpha generation in rising and falling markets. According to research company FE Trustnet, over the past 10 years he has delivered a cumulative total return of 43.7 per cent, compared with 28.1 per cent for a composite of his peer group.

Mr De Blonay targets companies he thinks are undervalued and exhibit favourable growth prospects, due to characteristics such as proven management or strong products and services. He takes a macro view of the world economy, identifying investment themes and then finding stocks positioned to benefit from them.

Mr De Blonay thinks financial sector shares remain relatively cheap compared with their historical average and banks such as UBS (US:UBS), Barclays (BARC), Goldman Sachs (US:GS) and JPMorgan (US:JPM) could all do well in a more inflationary and higher rate environment. As well as positioning the fund to benefit from this opportunity, he is also seeking to add to companies offering a decent dividend policy and good growth profile.

The future outlook for the fund seems positive, but over the last one, three and five years it has underperformed its benchmark.

However, Adrian Lowcock, investment director at Architas, says the fund is still worth considering despite the poor performance.

"Jupiter Financial Opportunities is biased towards large-cap liquid names, therefore it has been underweight large interest-rate-sensitive names and lower-quality financials, which tend to outperform in [times of] improving economic outlook," he says. "The fund also got hit in terms of currency last year as it was positioned for a remain vote in the European Union referendum. Guy De Blonay is a very experienced manager who has been running this specialist fund since 2010. He's got a lot of expertise and knowledge, which is important given the complexity of financial balance sheets, as you need someone who knows what to look out for."

So if you are a higher-risk investor who anticipates that financial companies - particularly in the US - are set for a comeback, then Jupiter Financial Opportunities might be a good way to capture their return. Buy. EA.

 

JUPITER FINANCIAL OPPORTUNITIES FUND (GB00B5LG4657)
Price572.74p3-yr Mean return8.90%
IA sectorSpecialist3-yr Sharpe ratio0.73
Fund typeUnit trust3-yr Standard deviation11.09%
Fund size£450.7mYield0.93%
No of holdings73*Ongoing charge0.99%
Set up date02/06/1997*More detailswww.jupiteram.com
Manager start date01/06/2010  

Source: Morningstar, as at 16/01/17, *Jupiter Asset Management, as at 30/11/16

 

Performance

Fund/benchmark1-year total return (%)3-year cumulative total return (%)5-year cumulative total return (%)
Jupiter Financial Opportunities21.828.092.0
MSCI ACWI/Financials NR USD index48.751.3114.3

Source: Morningstar, as at 11 January 2017

 

Top 10 holdings as at 30/12/16 (%)

VZ Holding4.05
JPMORGAN CHASE3.97
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise3.81
CITIGROUP 3.60
Danske Bank3.29
Citizens Financial2.89
MORGAN STANLEY2.88
ING GROEP 2.77
Visa2.68
Temenos2.57

Source: Jupiter Asset Management

  

Sector breakdown, as at 30/11/16 (%)

Banks 32.1
Financial services 25.1
Support services 14.6
Non-life insurance 12.2
Life insurance 5.9
Software & computer services 5.6
Equity investment instruments 3.8
Real estate investment & services 2.6
Real estate investment trusts 2.6
Non-equity investment instruments 0.0
Cash-4.6

Source: Jupiter Asset Management

  

IC Tip Rating

Tip styleGrowth
Risk ratingHigh
TimescaleLong term