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Events titan UBM shows growth on the back of savvy deals

The events giant benefited from the takeover of Advanstar and a special dividend is on the cards
February 29, 2016

A strong showing from the key events business and the takeover of peer Advanstar fuelled a 46 per cent rise in underlying operating profits at UBM (UBM) to £197m in 2015. But the real boon for investors could be a £245m special dividend - or about 55p a share - payable if US competition regulators approve the $841m (£555m) sale of PR Newswire.

IC TIP: Buy at 576p

UBM organises more than 400 events a year, including Black Hat, a major information security conference, and construction exhibition Ecobuild. Management has pruned the group's portfolio to favour large, more lucrative 'must attend' shows - it sold two shows, discontinued 47 others and spent nearly £40m on exhibitions in Brazil and China in the period. The upshot was a 5 per cent rise in underlying revenues from the group's 116 major annual events, while biennial exhibitions also outperformed. But similar refocusing on events-related offerings in the other marketing services segment proved less successful: underlying sales there fell 5 per cent.

The group's integration of Advanstar progressed ahead of plan: cost savings are tracking at $10m a year. Moreover, management plans to use the disposal proceeds not returned to shareholders to buttress the balance sheet and finance more bolt-on acquisitions. The downside is that broker Investec expects the deal to reduce EPS by around 19 per cent to roughly 33p in 2016.

UBM (UBM)
ORD PRICE:576pMARKET VALUE:£2.5bn
TOUCH:575-576.5p12-MONTH HIGH:585pLOW: 462p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.8%PE RATIO:31
NET ASSET VALUE:200p*NET DEBT:53%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201197210225.426.3
201276912243.326.7
201379411028.321.1
2014 (restated)†55110233.821.3
201577012018.321.6
% change+40+18-46+1

Ex-div: 28 Apr

Payment: 27 May

*Includes intangible assets of £1.57bn, or 354p a share

†Earnings and dividend per share adjusted to reflect rights issue in December 2014