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Aberdeen suffers further outflows

Weakness in emerging markets has drained funds under management, and the SWIP acquisition is also losing funds.
December 2, 2014

Weakness in emerging equity markets was blamed for net outflows of £20.4bn at Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN). Although assets under management rose nearly two thirds to £324bn over the year, this was entirely due to the £135bn of assets that came with the acquisition of Scottish Widows Investment Partnership (SWIP). Without SWIP, Aberdeen's assets would have fallen from £200bn to £189bn.

IC TIP: Hold at 458p

SWIP also suffered outflows during the period, totalling £4.4bn - though that includes the withdrawal of £4bn by a single client. The SWIP Property Trust, renamed Aberdeen Property Trust, attracted inflows, reflecting the ongoing appeal of bricks and mortar investments. In other asset classes, fixed income lost £3.6bn in assets at the enlarged group level. Encouragingly, however, Aberdeen's outflows narrowed from £5.6bn to £2.3bn, mainly as a result of £1.6bn of net inflows for emerging market debt products.

The inclusion of SWIP added costs of £60m, but within the Aberdeen business costs were down 4 per cent. The group also has a healthy cash balance, with cash generated from operating activities rising 3 per cent to £544m.

Analysts at Canaccord Genuity are forecasting pre-tax profits before exceptional items of £590m for the current year and EPS of 33.3p (from £480m and 30.2p in 2014).

ABERDEEN ASSET MANAGEMENT (ADN)
ORD PRICE:458pMARKET VALUE:£6.02bn
TOUCH:457-458p12-MONTH HIGH:500pLOW:361 p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.9%PE RATIO:19
NET ASSET VALUE:130p*NET CASH:£654m

Year to 30 SepTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20100.641268.37
20110.9522415.09
20121.0527018.911.5
20131.3139027.216
20141.2935523.518
% change-2-9-13+13

Ex-div: 11 Dec

Payment: 6 Feb

*Includes Intangible assets of £1.55bn or 118p a share