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Telecity wires up

Foreign-exchange headwinds and cautious forward guidance have hit Telecity's stock, but the business still looks strong.
February 12, 2014

Telecity' s (TCY) shares tumbled to a two-year low after the computer data centre provider missed consensus estimates for revenue and cash profits in 2013, and issued tepid forward earnings guidance for the current year.

IC TIP: Hold at 653pp

Organic revenues grew at a healthy 7 per cent clip, and even better profit growth prompted a 40 per cent hike in the final dividend to 7p a share. But acquisitions in Poland, Bulgaria and Turkey pushed debt up by £50m to £304m.

Telecity's aggressive expansion means it risks overbuilding. It uses less than 80 per cent of both its space and power capacity, yet still expects annual capital expenses of £110m to £130m over the next few years. Constructing data centres is both costly and time-consuming, admits chief executive Michael Tobin, but the real challenge is to predict capacity requirements and consumer demand correctly several years in advance. "I'd rather have a little incremental capacity than be starved, as our occupancy rates will continue to rise," he says.

Analysts at Barclays trimmed their full-year estimates following the announcement. They now expect pre-tax profits of £104m and adjusted EPS of 41p, up from 36p last year.

TELECITY (TCY)
ORD PRICE:653pMARKET VALUE:£1.3bn
TOUCH:652-653p12-MONTH HIGH:1,026p633p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.6%PE RATIO:20
NET ASSET VALUE:202p*NET DEBT:74%

Year to 2013 Turnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200916938.117.8nil
201019645.919.4nil
201124059.421.7nil
201228376.129.17.5
201332688.432.210.5
% change+15+16+11+40

Ex-div: 3 Mar

Payment: 11 Apr

*Includes intangible assets of £179m, or 88p a share