After a first half dogged by falling US coal volumes and weak demand in Australia, engineer Fenner (FENR) needed a better second half; and it got it. Underlying operating profit fell 15 per cent to £101.5m in the 12-month period, but still met forecasts and management is confident of a return to growth this year given a nascent recovery in both its key markets.
Brokers are, too. N+1 Singer is pencilling in adjusted pre-tax profit of £93m, giving adjusted EPS of 31.6p, up from £87m and 30.1p in 2013. Much will depend on the core conveyor belt division where profit slumped by a quarter last year to £63m. Crucially, sentiment among mining customers both in the US and Australia is gradually improving, and a resumption of more normal industry maintenance and replacement practices will clearly benefit Fenner. And, while the weak Australian currency is a headwind in terms of translating Aussie profits back into sterling, chief executive Nicholas Hobson "would pick a weak Aussie dollar every time. It's what makes our customers profitable and confident enough to keep mining".
Even more promising is the higher-margin rubber seals and plastic parts unit, Advanced Engineered Products (AEP). It made a record operating profit of £46.8m in 2013 and demand from oil & gas and medical customers is growing fast. There's plenty of self-help still feeding through, too, and the division should have little trouble smashing last year's weak interim numbers.
FENNER (FENR) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
ORD PRICE: | 434p | MARKET VALUE: | £841m | |
TOUCH: | 433-434p | 12-MONTH HIGH: | 439p | LOW: 303p |
DIVIDEND YIELD: | 2.6% | PE RATIO: | 18 | |
NET ASSET VALUE: | 179p* | NET DEBT: | 33% |
Year to 31 Aug | Turnover (£m) | Pre-tax profit (£m) | Earnings per share (p) | Dividend per share (p) |
---|---|---|---|---|
2009 | 499 | 5.60 | 2.60 | 6.60 |
2010 | 553 | 37.2 | 14.6 | 7.20 |
2011 | 718 | 69.6 | 24.6 | 8.00 |
2012 | 831 | 88.6 | 30.3 | 10.5 |
2013 | 821 | 67.9 | 23.5 | 11.3 |
% change | -1 | -23 | -22 | +7 |
Ex-div: 11 Jan Payment: 7 Mar *Includes intangible assets of £263m, or 136p a share |