Next Fifteen Communications (NFC), a marketing company made up of 16 specialist agencies, is benefiting from the resurgent US economy and its focus on high-growth technology clients, such as Google and Amazon, that make up 70 per cent of revenues. Strong organic growth prospects in the UK and US are also being supplemented with savvy 'bolt-on' acquisitions. Meanwhile operations elsewhere have been revitalised through restructuring and focusing on key clients. Yet despite its stellar progress, the group's shares trade at just 12 times forecast earnings, leaving ample room for a re-rating.
- Benefiting from resurgent US economy
- Strong sales and profit growth
- Savvy investments and acquisitions
- Shares are cheaply rated
- Peripheral businesses have struggled
- Restructuring costs and write-downs
Next Fifteen offers services such as digital marketing, PR and market research in 18 countries. Digital investments, the closure of underperforming offices and dropping unprofitable clients widened the group's underlying operating margins last year from 8.6 per cent to 11.7 per cent, while helping win new blue-chip clients, such as Twitter and Time Warner Cable. Next Fifteen also raised average return from clients by 10 per cent and increased the number of clients generating over $1m (£0.64m) in fees from 25 to 28.
All this fuelled a strong financial performance in 2014. Organic sales rose 11 per cent in the US, which accounts for 58 per cent of group turnover and 78 per cent of profit. Investment, reorganisation and acquisitions sent the UK operating margin soaring from 4.1 per cent to 10.6 per cent. And the group's other operations bounced back after widescale restructuring. For instance, its businesses in Europe and Africa swung from a loss in 2014 to an operating profit of £0.8m. The upshot was a 44 per cent rise in total adjusted operating profit to £12.7m.
Acquisitions have played a key role in allowing Next Fifteen to tap into growth markets and widen its digital offering. For example, it recently acquired Encore, an agency specialising in automated advertising technology. It also bought content-focused marketer Story Worldwide in 2014 and recently took a significant stake in digital agency Animl, whose clients include Unilever.
The combination of organic growth and acquisitions has strengthened Next Fifteen's prospects. Trading has remained strong this year and the business pipeline in the US and UK is bulging. Those trends should underpin broker Investec's expectations of 9 per cent compound annual earnings growth between 2015 and 2018, and based on recent trading and the likelihood of further acquisitions, there's good potential for upgrades to these forecasts.
Investors might be worried about the costs of Next Fifteen's transformation. Last year, the group wrote down £7m in goodwill, incurred a £1.8m restructuring charge, and cash outflow from investing more than tripled to £17.9m. But management's efforts have paid off handsomely so far. And fears about acquisitions driving up debt should be eased by Next Fifteen's improved cash generation, which together with £4.3m in net proceeds from a placing in January kept year-end net debt at just £8.6m.
NEXT FIFTEEN COMMUNICATIONS (NFC) | ||||
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ORD PRICE: | 189p | MARKET VALUE: | £ 125m | |
TOUCH: | 188-190p | 12-MONTH HIGH: | 198p | LOW: 110p |
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD: | 2.2% | FORWARD PE RATIO: | 12 | |
NET ASSET VALUE: | 58p* | NET DEBT: | 23% |
Year to 31 Jan | Turnover (£m) | Pre-tax profit (£m)** | Earnings per share (p)** | Dividend per share (p) |
---|---|---|---|---|
2013 | 92.9 | 9.7 | 10.0 | 2.4 |
2014 | 98.7 | 8.3 | 7.4 | 2.6 |
2015† | 109.2 | 12.5 | 13.2 | 3.5 |
2016** | 124.8 | 15.4 | 14.7 | 3.9 |
2017** | 132.7 | 17.1 | 15.8 | 4.2 |
% change | +6 | +11 | +7 | +8 |
Normal market size: 3,000 Matched bargain trading Beta: 0.42 *Includes intangible assets of £44.9m, or 69p a share †Adjusted to reflect 18-month period **Investec forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures |