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Admiral edges up UK car premiums, but Confused.com lags

Admiral is paying another special dividend, with a promise of more to come
March 4, 2016

Shares in Admiral (ADM) rose by 9 per cent on the day the motor and home insurance group delivered a strong set of full-year figures. Once again, shareholders were rewarded with another special dividend that, along with the ordinary dividend, equates to a yield of 6 per cent.

IC TIP: Buy at 1892p

The UK car insurance business, which accounts for 81 per cent of group turnover and three-quarters of all customers, saw the number of vehicles insured increase by 5 per cent to 3.3m, while the recently launched home insurance business had attracted more than 300,000 customers in the UK by the year-end. In addition, customer numbers in France and Spain rose 14 per cent to 673,000.

In its domestic market, car insurance profits rose by 11 per cent to a record £443m, although international car insurance losses widened from £19.9m to £22.2m. Confused.com experienced tough competition, and profits fell by more than a fifth to £12.5m.

Overall, finances were in pretty good shape. Full compliance with new Solvency II regulations revealed a surplus of regulatory capital, and included in the special dividend payment is £33m released from reserves, with the promise of more to come.

Analysts at Numis Securities are forecasting pre-tax profits of £359m for 2016 (£377m in 2015) and EPS of 105p.

 

ADMIRAL (ADM)
ORD PRICE:1,892pMARKET VALUE:£5.33bn
TOUCH:1,891-1,894p12-MONTH HIGH:1,900pLOW: 1,347p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.1%PE RATIO:18
NET ASSET VALUE:219pCOMBINED RATIO:85.6%

Year to 31 DecNet premiums (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Investment income (£m)Dividend per share (p*)
201144629913.736.9
201249934515.942.7
201348337014.346.9
201446535115.446.2
201546736932.657.9
% change+0+5+112+25

Ex-div: 12 May

Payment: 3 Jun

Excludes special dividends: 38.7p in 2011, 47.9p in 2012, 52.6p in 2013, 52.2p in 2014 and 56.5p in 2015