Join our community of smart investors

Ashmore looks to be turning a corner

The emerging markets specialist has reduced the pace of outflows and generated positive investment gains during the first half
February 13, 2017

The US election left Ashmore (ASHM) at risk of having a nascent recovery halted. During the second quarter of its financial year it suffered around $700m (£560m) in net outflows. Management cited a small number of institutional investors withdrawing money from local currency and dollar-denominated debt. However, flows have quickly recovered since then, group finance director Tom Shippey was quick to assure.

IC TIP: Hold at 353p

Overall, the emerging markets-specialist asset manager made progress in reducing the pace of outflows: the first three months of the reported period saw flat flows. Investment gains of $0.3bn meant assets under management were almost flat since the financial year-end, and up 5 per cent over the previous 12 months. As a result, performance fees were up from £8.6m to £21.6m.

The overlay strategy generated the biggest increase in assets at $0.5bn. Blended debt was also popular with investors, generating net inflows and investment gains of $0.4bn, taking assets to $14.1bn. This strategy reduced Ashmore's local currency exposure and increased its weighting towards off-benchmark corporate debt.

Analysts at Numis expect adjusted pre-tax profit of £197m during the 12 months to June 2017, giving EPS of 22.7p (from £168m and 18.1p in 2016).

ASHMORE (ASHM)

ORD PRICE:352.7pMARKET VALUE:£2.51bn
TOUCH:352.6-352.7p12-MONTH HIGH:379pLOW: 196p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.7%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE: 98pNET CASH:£378m

Half-year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2015110636.94.55
201614112214.74.55
% change+28+94+114 

Ex-div: 9 Mar

Payment: 7 Apr