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More to come from Great Portland

Great Portland Estates has a significant development pipeline, half of which will complete in the next 18 months and boost rental income
November 13, 2014

Half-year results from West End property developer Great Portland Estates (GPOR) provided ample evidence that the London office market remains as hot as ever. With demand for space rising and few properties available for redevelopment, Great Portland's performance remains underpinned by the twin pillars of rising rents and continued asset appreciation. Half-year numbers confirm this, with profit boosted by a £169m valuation uplift and market lettings 3.1 per cent ahead of estimated rental values (ERV) calculated in March.

IC TIP: Buy at 686p

And there's no sign of this trend abating. New lettings since the end of September are currently running 5.6 per cent ahead of those March ERVs. Furthermore, with office rents in Great Portland's portflolio averaging a modest £44.15 per sq ft, the reversionary potential - which calculates how much more rental income would be realised if all properties were rented at current market rates - comes in at an impressive 21 per cent. Some of this potential is already being crystallised. Two new lettings at £75 per sq ft will fetch almost double the previous passing rent.

Great Portland has also been busy selling completed buildings, which has delivered further gains in a fast-rising market. The Tudor House freehold was sold for a 5 per cent premium to March's book value, while in November contracts were exchanged for the sale of a property in Fetter Lane. The £92.8m sale price was 16 per cent ahead of the March valuation, and Great Portland also receives a £5.1m payment on practical completion of the development. That works out at a return on capital of nearly 83 per cent since the group committed to the scheme.

Chief executive Toby Courtauld remains upbeat about the current cycle - fortunately, as the development pipeline of 2.2m sq ft equates to over half the existing property portfolio. Half of this is on-site or will be completed within the next 18 months, with the remaining half stretching out to 2022.

Analysts at broker Morgan Stanley forecast book value of 671p by March 2015, rising to 744p the year after.

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES (GPOR)
ORD PRICE:686pMARKET VALUE:£2.36bn
TOUCH:685-686p12-MONTH HIGH:695pLOW: 551p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.3%TRADING PROPERTIES:£102m
PREMIUM TO NAV:9%NET DEBT:30%
INVESTMENT PROPERTIES:£2.78bn*

Half-year to 30 SepNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201348714743.03.4
201462924771.83.5
% change+29+68+67+3

Ex-div: 20 Nov

Payment: 2 Jan

*Includes £599m within joint ventures