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Direct Line splashes its cash

RESULTS: Direct Line has announced a hefty special dividend, but pricing pressure in the insurer's core motor book remains under pressure
August 4, 2014

Shares in Direct Line (FLG) rose 5 per cent on the day these half-year figures appeared, following news of a hefty 10p a share special dividend. Costs fell over 5 per cent, too, and confirmation that management is looking to sell the German and Italian units - rumoured to be worth almost £300m - also helped sentiment.

IC TIP: Hold at 239.4p

The payout reflects a decision to return capital that can't be fully utilised in today's competitive market conditions. In the core motor book - responsible for nearly two-fifths of gross premiums - premium rates fell 2 per cent year on year in the second quarter, after a steeper fall in the first. This, however, looks comparatively resilient, given that second-quarter motor rates for the market overall fell 15 per, according to the Confused.com/Tower Watson price index. Meanwhile, the underwriting performance deteriorated modestly - the combined ratio (of claims to premiums) rose two percentage points - largely due to home cover claims relating to poor UK weather.

The investment book improved its return to a still modest 2.8 per cent (annualised) from 2.3 per cent. The portfolio is largely focused on high-quality corporate bonds, but a small book of investment property has helped support performance.

Pending upgrades, broker Numis Securities expects full-year pre-tax profit of £385m, giving EPS of 19.8p (from £424m and 20.8p in 2013) and net tangible assets (NTA) of 147p a share.

DIRECT LINE INSURANCE (DLG)

ORD PRICE:293.4pMARKET VALUE:£4.4bn
TOUCH:293.3-293.4p12-MONTH HIGH:298pLOW: 200p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.4%*PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:186pCOMBINED RATIO:96.6%

Half-year to 30 JunGross premiums (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Investment income (£m)Dividend per share (p)
20131.962091054.2
20141.862251194.4*
% change-5+8+13+5

Ex-div: 13 Aug

Payment: 12 Sep

*Excludes special dividends: 8p in 2013 and 10p at 2014's half-year stage